CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30e14572e3d00d5a7fd9f521913aad89768b174244b3dac35ad928adde5e19dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Aresof Nexus, G2 Ares
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d66…ff1dbacked G2 Ares | 45c | 1,599$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nexus | 42c | 1,554$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.21 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nexus | 46c | 1,408$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.31 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Nexus | 55c | 1,379$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.7 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed G2 Ares | 62c | 869.96$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.97 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked G2 Ares | 30c | 622.64$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.42 | 353 | 42.8%151 W · 202 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed G2 Ares | 57c | 549.99$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.5 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nexus | 52c | 427.31$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.52 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed G2 Ares | 63c | 424.88$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.44 | 462 | 46.8%216 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nexus | 44c | 420.2$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.47 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nexus | 45c | 414.96$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.93 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Nexus | 46c | 413$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc303…8129backed G2 Ares | 55c | 407.77$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Nexus | 45c | 401.81$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.58 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked G2 Ares | 54c | 370$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.6 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked G2 Ares | 62c | 316.3$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.21 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Nexus | 58c | 316.04$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.77 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3835…bcacbacked Nexus | 51c | 300$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.36 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb84…59d2backed G2 Ares | 70c | 292.21$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.09 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed G2 Ares | 55c | 282.21$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.99 | 503 | 41.6%209 W · 294 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Nexus | 41c | 262.61$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.83 | 742 | 39.1%290 W · 452 L | -29.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…41f9backed Nexus | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nexus | 47c | 211.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Nexus | 57c | 209$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.13 | 310 | 43.9%136 W · 174 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…8ee6backed Nexus | 22c | 205$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Nexus | 43c | 198.75$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.53 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Nexus | 47c | 180$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Nexus | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 562 | 39.5%222 W · 340 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed G2 Ares | 59c | 128.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5275…9379backed Nexus | 35c | 122$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nexus | 52c | 111$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Nexus | 49c | 110.53$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked G2 Ares | 73c | 110$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked G2 Ares | 72c | 109.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6abd…94ecbacked G2 Ares | 80c | 107.75$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…c88bbacked G2 Ares | 64c | 106.53$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…50fcbacked Nexus | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed G2 Ares | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.19 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | -23.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked G2 Ares | 56c | 97.56$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed G2 Ares | 74c | 96.09$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…1517backed Nexus | 54c | 92.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked G2 Ares | 53c | 87.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Nexus | 34c | 80.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked G2 Ares | 67c | 74.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 298 | 54.7%163 W · 135 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1d…9332backed G2 Ares | 22c | 71.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed G2 Ares | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 505 | 48.1%243 W · 262 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468b…68a5backed Nexus | 39c | 67.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Nexus | 34c | 67.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b88…16e6backed G2 Ares | 76c | 66.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 158 | 23.4%37 W · 121 L | -18.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked G2 Ares | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…35c7backed G2 Ares | 53c | 57.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nexus | 47c | 56.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked G2 Ares | 79c | 54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Nexus | 36c | 50.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 702 | 42.2%296 W · 406 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Nexus | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Nexus | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 419 | 50.1%210 W · 209 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b70…277bbacked G2 Ares | 50c | 47.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nexus | 60c | 46.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Nexus | 33c | 46.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 286 | 37.4%107 W · 179 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed G2 Ares | 51c | 46.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed G2 Ares | 54c | 45.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 726 | 45.6%331 W · 395 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591b…8410backed Nexus | 52c | 44.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed G2 Ares | 50c | 42.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked G2 Ares | 63c | 42.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 365 | 40%146 W · 219 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nexus | 52c | 41.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Nexus | 36c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed G2 Ares | 54c | 40.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 161 | 38.5%62 W · 99 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Nexus | 60c | 39.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Nexus | 55c | 39.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 102 | 30.4%31 W · 71 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked G2 Ares | 64c | 38.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 344 | 62.2%214 W · 130 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed G2 Ares | 51c | 35.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed G2 Ares | 56c | 33.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Nexus | 48c | 31.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Nexus | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked G2 Ares | 35c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 486 | 52.3%254 W · 232 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa4…1211backed G2 Ares | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed G2 Ares | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 224 | 50.9%114 W · 110 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed G2 Ares | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0932…ba5abacked G2 Ares | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed G2 Ares | 54c | 24.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nexus | 41c | 24.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed G2 Ares | 46c | 23.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 681 | 72.2%492 W · 189 L | +120.9wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0010…c3a8backed G2 Ares | 57c | 21.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 319 | 73.7%235 W · 84 L | +23.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nexus | 59c | 21.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…2f40backed G2 Ares | 60c | 19.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9b…9ddebacked G2 Ares | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed G2 Ares | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nexus vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nexus vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group CG2 Ares won
- Counter-Strike: Nexus vs G2 Ares - Map 1 WinnerG2 Ares won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: G2.A (-1.5) vs Nexus (+1.5)G2 Ares won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.