TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8487…c1db

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
752
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 58 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT48052.3%251 W · 229 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 480 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 4 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.26
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.84
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+166.8%+$57.79
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.7
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+81%+$19.39
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.45
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.9
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.16
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+146.7%+$101.76
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.93
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+121%+$44.3
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$22.08
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$124.92
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$19.14
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.21
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.6
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+151.4%+$110.54
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$24.81
Showing 25 of 480 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT15656.4%88 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 156 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$94.61
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$13.65
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
France vs. England: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.79
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$11.45
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.51
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.5%+$38.8
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$29.54
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+97%+$28.05
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$39.87
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.17
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.48
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.8
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+91%+$104.68
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$27.29
Showing 25 of 156 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT3470.6%24 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF M15 Krakow Men: Achilles Belkovics vs Jan Sadzikbacked Jan Sadzik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$9.01
Prague: Nerman Fatic vs Matthew William Donaldbacked Nerman Fatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
ITF M15 Lambermont Men: Henri Haupt vs Matthew Carrollbacked Matthew Carroll · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Hamburg European Open: Simona Waltert vs Mayar Sherifbacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Estoril Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
Estoril Open: Titouan Droguet vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$22.57
Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Livesport Prague Open: Ella Seidel vs Daria Snigurbacked Daria Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.03
Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Wimbledon ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Jaime Fariabacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.59
Wimbledon ATP: Gabriel Diallo vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.95
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
Plovdiv: Inaki Montes vs Sandro Koppbacked Inaki Montes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$17.3
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Linda Noskovabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.95
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+146.2%+$26.32
Grass Court Championships: Alexandra Eala vs Elena Rybakinabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$20.91
Saint-Malo: Tereza Valentova vs Lilli Taggerbacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Shymkent 2: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Mili Poljicakbacked Mili Poljicak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Huzhou: Varvara Panshina vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.3
Jiujiang: Mark Lajal vs Fajing Sunbacked Fajing Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
Abidjan 2: Aziz Dougaz vs Florent Baxbacked Aziz Dougaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Manuel Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Shara Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.5
UFC Fight Night: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Nazim Sadykhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kyoji Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Navajo Stirling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.25
UFC Fight Night: Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Murtazali Magomedov (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Murtazali Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$5.65
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Vinicius Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$7.05
UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Michael Aswell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
UFC Fight Night: Leon Shahbazyan vs. Levan Chokheli (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Levan Chokheli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.6
UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Norma Dumont · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Royval (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kape · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.72
UFC Fight Night: Chikadze vs. Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Vallejos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
UFC Fight Night: Charrière vs. Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.64
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Amosov (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Amosov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.25
UFC Fight Night: Horth vs. Bleda (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Bleda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12
UFC 323: Moreno vs. Taira (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
UFC 323: Cejudo vs. Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Talbott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.29
UFC 323: McKinney vs. Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+88.7%+$9.75
UFC 323: Silva vs. Barber (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Barber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.4
UFC 323: Aslan vs. Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)backed Baraniewski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+53.8%+$7
UFC 323: Naimov vs. Santos (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.29
All 22 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+45%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$16.13
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$14.26
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.99
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+109.7%+$27.43
Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+52.1%+$13.03
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+49.9%+$24.09
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+47%+$9.41
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
VOOI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+36.1%+$7.21
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+212.5%+$91.38
All 12 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick72cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick76cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$45.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.