TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Livesport Prague Open: Ella Seidel vs Daria Snigur

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Daria Snigurof Ella Seidel, Daria Snigur
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$311,271
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$329,418

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $311,271 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Daria Snigur77c62,929$48,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,465.379,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c50…e0c9backed Ella Seidel9c22,222$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00042131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Daria Snigur79c21,092$16,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,430.6756651.8%293 W · 273 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Ella Seidel30c16,219$4,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,865.571,21746.3%563 W · 654 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Ella Seidel24c11,484$2,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,783.7694140.6%382 W · 559 L-31.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Ella Seidel33c11,243$3,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,71072129.7%214 W · 507 L-41.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Ella Seidel21c10,714$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.941,68350.6%851 W · 832 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c7d…83edbacked Ella Seidel31c7,750$2,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,402.55135.3%18 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Ella Seidel16c7,547$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.4463556.7%360 W · 275 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Daria Snigur74c7,326$5,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,935.2211,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ccb…ad58backed Ella Seidel33c6,603$2,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1791323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-58.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Daria Snigur74c5,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30010358.3%60 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9410…ffcdbacked Ella Seidel15c4,818$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.644124.4%10 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Ella Seidel16c4,641$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.531540.6%128 W · 187 L-12.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Daria Snigur76c4,553$3,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.114,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x492b…45eebacked Daria Snigur77c3,651$2,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.2916349.7%81 W · 82 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Ella Seidel31c3,115$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.7129149.5%144 W · 147 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Daria Snigur76c3,020$2,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.56,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c23…d48fbacked Ella Seidel27c2,660$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.21643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Ella Seidel21c2,604$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.792,44451.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ella Seidel26c2,600$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.458,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5965…935fbacked Ella Seidel21c2,191$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.8517423.6%41 W · 133 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd47…17dfbacked Ella Seidel18c1,597$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.443438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e86…6dfbbacked Daria Snigur69c1,416$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.2620444.6%91 W · 113 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x693b…84e3backed Daria Snigur78c1,396$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.899063.3%57 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Ella Seidel16c1,335$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.61,20649%591 W · 615 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x118a…457ebacked Daria Snigur78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.053871.1%27 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Ella Seidel17c1,172$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.647234.7%164 W · 308 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Ella Seidel21c1,105$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.0517931.8%57 W · 122 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Ella Seidel18c1,053$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.141,78548.7%869 W · 916 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Ella Seidel7c1,050$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.415225%38 W · 114 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Ella Seidel39c1,003$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.444448.9%217 W · 227 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Daria Snigur78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.189,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Ella Seidel26c999.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.859721.8%130 W · 467 L+2.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe081…0bf5backed Ella Seidel14c830.21$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.58123.5%19 W · 62 L+0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe790…698cbacked Daria Snigur67c736.43$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.0221046.2%97 W · 113 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Ella Seidel22c661.85$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.52,83947.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Ella Seidel17c617.2$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1614225.4%36 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Ella Seidel21c600$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1267,10739.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L-17.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Daria Snigur80c599.48$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.245,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Ella Seidel30c597.5$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.812,88739.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L-84.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2542…7821backed Ella Seidel35c571.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020749.8%103 W · 104 L-13.5wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Ella Seidel26c561.16$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8730845.5%140 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed Ella Seidel15c452.02$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4814250%71 W · 71 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2742…d5f0backed Ella Seidel17c437.54$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7660%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Ella Seidel28c433$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.124,65048.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11eb…50cbbacked Daria Snigur71c373.67$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.361163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Ella Seidel23c360.75$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.382,52138.4%969 W · 1,552 L+93.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x524c…20c0backed Daria Snigur63c355.79$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.799053.3%48 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Ella Seidel17c335.27$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.091,05340.9%431 W · 622 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Ella Seidel30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042930.5%131 W · 298 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x877b…fa0bbacked Ella Seidel13c315.31$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.145042%21 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6684…bcf2backed Ella Seidel31c311.52$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.571154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Ella Seidel25c308.17$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1499244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Daria Snigur76c306.2$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.82,86849.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L+23.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Daria Snigur78c303.71$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2153847%253 W · 285 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4c0…22ebbacked Ella Seidel20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6040527.2%110 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Ella Seidel26c283.95$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7643950.8%223 W · 216 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4c7…b8e1backed Ella Seidel17c283.73$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.986530.8%20 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Ella Seidel17c278.62$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.932,32652.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L+85.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d79…9e95backed Ella Seidel31c270.97$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8414852.7%78 W · 70 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Ella Seidel24c265.58$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.941,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Daria Snigur78c260$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.324,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Ella Seidel17c256.85$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.922,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Ella Seidel19c254.8$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.411,51537.7%571 W · 944 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Ella Seidel24c250$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.751,63252.7%860 W · 772 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Ella Seidel11c246.63$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.062,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf3b…9035backed Ella Seidel29c245.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7031355.3%173 W · 140 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Ella Seidel23c240$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.21,58042.3%668 W · 912 L+18.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Ella Seidel21c236.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.995,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe07b…b7c9backed Ella Seidel33c233.33$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7715456.5%87 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67a1…1c91backed Daria Snigur65c230.76$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7620360.1%122 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fd2…c97abacked Ella Seidel10c220.77$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Ella Seidel21c212.29$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.121,88257.4%1,081 W · 801 L+104.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Ella Seidel26c210.12$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.761,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d23…9517backed Daria Snigur79c206.15$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.595261.5%32 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ella Seidel24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e0…585bbacked Ella Seidel23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610451%53 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Daria Snigur77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.51,74548.1%840 W · 905 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Ella Seidel25c199.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Ella Seidel20c196.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.111,76645.9%810 W · 956 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Daria Snigur76c191.69$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1676355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Ella Seidel28c189.29$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533,26240.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Ella Seidel28c182.14$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513,45738.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L-15.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Daria Snigur75c180$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.36761.2%41 W · 26 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdba1…a269backed Ella Seidel29c174.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-74.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Ella Seidel28c171.43$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4858931.1%183 W · 406 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x655c…60b5backed Daria Snigur78c162$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Ella Seidel28c160.71$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Ella Seidel26c156.32$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9260452.5%317 W · 287 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Ella Seidel30c156$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.385,49848.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L+10.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Ella Seidel28c153.57$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432,17937%807 W · 1,372 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab7…9451backed Ella Seidel7c151.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.772231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Ella Seidel26c150.38$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3964346.2%297 W · 346 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b5e…6984backed Ella Seidel21c149.63$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.05714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-59.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50d7…f9bbbacked Ella Seidel14c147.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209832.7%32 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Ella Seidel20c147.49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.519537.4%73 W · 122 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0373…3e8cbacked Daria Snigur70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8630346.5%141 W · 162 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Ella Seidel28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4089754.6%490 W · 407 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b2b…0900backed Ella Seidel34c141.76$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.27945.6%36 W · 43 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.