TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd47…17df

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: WNBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT3438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Livesport Prague Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.29
Segovia: Matteo Martineau vs Gonzalo Villanuevabacked Gonzalo Villanueva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.34
Zug: Max Alcala Gurri vs Dylan Dietrichbacked Max Alcala Gurri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.64
Bloomfield Hills: Blaise Bicknell vs Adam Waltonbacked Blaise Bicknell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.2
Estoril Open: Henrique Rocha vs Pedro Martinezbacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.45
Generali Open: Lukas Neumayer vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$984Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$983.77
Livesport Prague Open: Ella Seidel vs Daria Snigurbacked Ella Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.44
Pozoblanco: Chris Rodesch vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Chris Rodesch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+123.4%+$384.74
Rome: Danka Kovinic vs Julia Rierabacked Danka Kovinic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,280.48
Croatia Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$283.35
Lincoln: James McCabe vs Bernard Tomicbacked Bernard Tomic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$237.35
Cordenons: Hugo Dellien vs Enrico Dalla Vallebacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$186.8
Croatia Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.73
Cordenons: Sumit Nagal vs Juan Bautista Torresbacked Juan Bautista Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.18
Kitzbuehel: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Arantxa Rusbacked Arantxa Rus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,598Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,598.36
Swiss Open: Jerome Kym vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+59%+$290.71
Swedish Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,229Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$1,048.88
Cordenons: Maxim Mrva vs Franco Roncadellibacked Franco Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,840Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+62%+$3,621.67
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$6,129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,129.11
Pozoblanco: Ivan Ivanov vs Oliver Crawfordbacked Ivan Ivanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Croatia Open: Dino Prizmic vs Alex Molcanbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$977Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$977.35
Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Trevor Svajdabacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+130.1%+$398.39
Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabebacked James McCabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$104.61
Granby: Sasha Rozin vs Keegan Ricebacked Sasha Rozin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.24
Granby: Murphy Cassone vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Murphy Cassone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$196.57
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$714Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$713.87
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,308.65
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+54%+$270.13
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$298.7
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$285.05
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$59.34
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.18
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$517Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+202.5%+$1,047.33
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$126.84
MLB All-Star Gamebacked American League · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$89.74
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$776.59
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padresbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+107.4%+$214.76
All 5 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Toronto Raptors vs. Denver Nuggetsbacked Toronto Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
NBA Summer League: Charlotte Hornets vs. Milwaukee Bucksbacked Milwaukee Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,279Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$2,137.07
NBA Summer League: Detroit Pistons vs. Phoenix Sunsbacked Phoenix Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,894Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$1,383.78
All 3 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Feverbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$114.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$166.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$31.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.