MLB · resolved market

Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafb4cbefe1c36ccce9665d21c9093e94d6122f16c39b71c0aa383670f25aa956

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: San Diego Padresof Toronto Blue Jays, San Diego Padres
Resolved: Jul 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $657,234
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $674,184

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $657,234 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 391 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Toronto Blue Jays	59c	194,465$113,936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113,935.8	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked San Diego Padres	45c	64,082$28,837 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,245.08	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-3.7wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres	41c	58,195$24,136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,059.45	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed San Diego Padres	46c	24,000$11,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,960.03	89	50.6%45 W · 44 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Toronto Blue Jays	47c	20,000$9,351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,350.6	232	55.6%129 W · 103 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres	45c	17,617$7,928 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,689.36	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays	57c	17,400$9,831 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,831.3	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed San Diego Padres	46c	16,587$7,630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,957.22	981	49.9%490 W · 491 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Toronto Blue Jays	13c	14,671$1,907 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,907.29	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	-6.9wins	-0.19per pick	50cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Toronto Blue Jays	55c	14,230$7,777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,777	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Toronto Blue Jays	54c	12,824$6,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,949.87	435	54%235 W · 200 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres	51c	12,633$6,483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,150.47	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed San Diego Padres	46c	12,500$5,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,750	489	52.8%258 W · 231 L	+16.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed San Diego Padres	57c	10,784$6,167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,617.26	856	45.3%388 W · 468 L	+18.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed San Diego Padres	64c	10,762$6,864 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,897.67	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed San Diego Padres	45c	10,000$4,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,500	123	43.1%53 W · 70 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6195…b9e3backed San Diego Padres	46c	7,250$3,335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,915	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays	54c	6,754$3,639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,639.27	5,400	50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L	+17.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9461…6be0backed San Diego Padres	64c	6,141$3,921 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,219.13	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Toronto Blue Jays	21c	5,630$1,156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,155.9	66	53%35 W · 31 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Toronto Blue Jays	54c	5,556$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000.24	167	47.9%80 W · 87 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked San Diego Padres	46c	5,435$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,934.78	92	50%46 W · 46 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Blue Jays	52c	4,897$2,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,569.63	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b04…71c0backed San Diego Padres	53c	4,593$2,434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,158.49	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+76.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32d2…8850backed San Diego Padres	46c	4,109$1,890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,218.8	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	32cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Toronto Blue Jays	38c	4,032$1,517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,516.68	794	42.4%337 W · 457 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres	46c	3,510$1,609 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,900.75	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed San Diego Padres	46c	3,478$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,878.26	515	45.2%233 W · 282 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec37…85bdbacked Toronto Blue Jays	25c	3,375$844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$843.75	98	31.6%31 W · 67 L	-13.1wins	-0.13per pick	45cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x816b…d69dbacked San Diego Padres	66c	2,616$1,735 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$880.59	117	59%69 W · 48 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres	56c	2,571$1,432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,139	950	45.2%429 W · 521 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed San Diego Padres	48c	2,386$1,141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,244.65	1,777	49.5%880 W · 897 L	+25.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfae1…fdc1backed Toronto Blue Jays	73c	2,240$1,635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,635.19	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-3.7wins	-0.18per pick	61cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d26…ca0ebacked Toronto Blue Jays	41c	2,182$897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$896.93	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres	35c	2,133$745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,387.37	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed San Diego Padres	47c	2,128$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,127.66	891	53.5%477 W · 414 L	+24.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec11…953fbacked Toronto Blue Jays	40c	2,083$830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$830	41	36.6%15 W · 26 L	-5.0wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed San Diego Padres	46c	2,073$954 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,119.42	2,369	47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed San Diego Padres	45c	2,000$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,100	619	47.7%295 W · 324 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed San Diego Padres	45c	2,000$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,100	78	52.6%41 W · 37 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Toronto Blue Jays	45c	2,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$899.99	246	39%96 W · 150 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres	46c	1,965$896 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,068.58	1,402	48.8%684 W · 718 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Toronto Blue Jays	54c	1,921$1,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,037.51	346	50.9%176 W · 170 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7011…c6dabacked Toronto Blue Jays	55c	1,814$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$997.83	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked San Diego Padres	47c	1,797$845 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$952.89	94	50%47 W · 47 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Toronto Blue Jays	48c	1,529$727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$726.72	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres	49c	1,428$703 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$724.75	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres	62c	1,412$879 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$533.29	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Toronto Blue Jays	54c	1,335$721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720.9	556	53.4%297 W · 259 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked San Diego Padres	46c	1,270$579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$690.56	2,800	49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Toronto Blue Jays	53c	1,200$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$636	115	47%54 W · 61 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7aa…08c3backed San Diego Padres	66c	1,195$789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$406.28	76	55.3%42 W · 34 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres	44c	1,178$516 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$661.61	11,356	52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L	+209.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Toronto Blue Jays	63c	1,118$705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$704.55	1,137	42.6%484 W · 653 L	+10.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Toronto Blue Jays	47c	1,100$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517	182	41.2%75 W · 107 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4309…03a6backed Toronto Blue Jays	37c	1,100$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.98	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed San Diego Padres	54c	1,098$593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$505.46	349	52.7%184 W · 165 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres	45c	1,097$494 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$603.59	4,477	48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L	-47.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6451…b57abacked San Diego Padres	46c	1,072$495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$577.12	148	41.2%61 W · 87 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed San Diego Padres	66c	1,059$699 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360.03	158	51.9%82 W · 76 L	-12.5wins	-0.08per pick	60cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Toronto Blue Jays	55c	1,024$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed San Diego Padres	66c	1,023$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352.84	717	50.1%359 W · 358 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked San Diego Padres	58c	1,017$592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$424.62	140	50.7%71 W · 69 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked San Diego Padres	33c	1,006$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$676.03	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked San Diego Padres	45c	1,000$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550	290	46.6%135 W · 155 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed San Diego Padres	45c	975$439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$536.25	1,555	48.9%761 W · 794 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Toronto Blue Jays	55c	909.09$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	349	42.7%149 W · 200 L	-19.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed San Diego Padres	59c	855.76$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.47	58	62.1%36 W · 22 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Toronto Blue Jays	47c	851.28$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	154	47.4%73 W · 81 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Toronto Blue Jays	53c	711.37$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.03	223	50.7%113 W · 110 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e2…4b92backed Toronto Blue Jays	36c	694.19$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.19	122	44.3%54 W · 68 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2002…a75ebacked San Diego Padres	57c	685.07$391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.85	157	51.6%81 W · 76 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed San Diego Padres	62c	669.91$415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.57	1,499	58.9%883 W · 616 L	+75.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xebbe…04b0backed Toronto Blue Jays	41c	655.19$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.33	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Toronto Blue Jays	52c	646.78$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.33	1,289	47.2%609 W · 680 L	-18.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Toronto Blue Jays	48c	625.16$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	257	51.8%133 W · 124 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc630…fbe4backed San Diego Padres	46c	619.57$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.57	42	28.6%12 W · 30 L	-5.7wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6a49…d276backed Toronto Blue Jays	14c	612.97$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.82	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed San Diego Padres	45c	601$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330.55	124	48.4%60 W · 64 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75ae…5772backed San Diego Padres	36c	555.56$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$355.56	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…de2ebacked Toronto Blue Jays	55c	545.45$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd599…c994backed Toronto Blue Jays	42c	542.77$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.96	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+2.3wins	+0.13per pick	60cpaid	+16%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Toronto Blue Jays	54c	510.1$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.67	2,021	39.5%798 W · 1,223 L	-25.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Toronto Blue Jays	55c	508.26$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.54	375	46.9%176 W · 199 L	-8.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres	54c	500.82$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.88	1,456	42.7%622 W · 834 L	-39.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked San Diego Padres	47c	500$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265	752	48.8%367 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked San Diego Padres	45c	500$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275	306	47.4%145 W · 161 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd050…c915backed Toronto Blue Jays	49c	489.8$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Toronto Blue Jays	37c	437.33$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.92	5,126	54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L	+231.6wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17be…e5b4backed San Diego Padres	63c	433.2$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.17	446	51.6%230 W · 216 L	+15.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Toronto Blue Jays	35c	412.17$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.74	687	69.6%478 W · 209 L	+60.4wins	+0.09per pick	61cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Toronto Blue Jays	71c	408.08$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.76	380	53.2%202 W · 178 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de9…5289backed San Diego Padres	61c	401.08$247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.43	549	45.4%249 W · 300 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Toronto Blue Jays	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	940	34.3%322 W · 618 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Toronto Blue Jays	54c	400$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	457	48.6%222 W · 235 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked San Diego Padres	51c	392.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.16	27	74.1%20 W · 7 L	+5.2wins	+0.19per pick	55cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked San Diego Padres	48c	386$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.72	373	48.3%180 W · 193 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Toronto Blue Jays	53c	377.36$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	296	56.1%166 W · 130 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf49…b4a5backed San Diego Padres	49c	366.28$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.28	206	57.8%119 W · 87 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd23e…e4a3backed Toronto Blue Jays	55c	363.64$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	117	50.4%59 W · 58 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padresthis page
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5Under won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Over won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego PadresYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event