TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb7aa…08c3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT7655.3%42 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$324.8
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,356Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$4,570.96
Athletics vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,976Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$1,624
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17.48
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,759Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$4,956.05
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,769Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$2,213.42
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,172Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,172.36
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$5,413Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$2,787.56
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,899Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$2,941.54
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,437Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,437.16
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-7.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.94
Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.98
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,250
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,800.17
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,309Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$1,745.09
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$1,176.24
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,878Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$500.3
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.38
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+242.9%+$121.47
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$577.72
San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$408.32
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,324Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$777.52
National Bank Open: Juncheng Shang vs Andrey Rublevbacked Juncheng Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$144.77
Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draperbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$145.26
National Bank Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Talia Gibsonbacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.36
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$200.78
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
National Bank Open: Duncan Chan vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Duncan Chan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Istanbul 2: Gijs Brouwer vs Manoj Dhamne Manasbacked Gijs Brouwer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Hagen: Stefano Travaglia vs Matej Dodigbacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodarbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$191.67
National Bank Open: Anhelina Kalinina vs Anna Bondarbacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$284.62
Samsun: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Paul Inchauspebacked Dimitar Kuzmanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,220
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kei Nishikori vs Juncheng Shangbacked Juncheng Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$945Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$944.54
Lincoln: Bernard Tomic vs Mark Lajalbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$6.4
Lincoln: Dhakshineswar Suresh vs Moez Echarguibacked Dhakshineswar Suresh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,590Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+134.3%+$2,134.67
Granby: Sasha Rozin vs Keegan Ricebacked Keegan Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$662.81
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$316.22
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$42.35
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-66.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$15.09
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.62
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.72
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$14.56
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+97.9%+$14.69
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.