Tennis · resolved market
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kei Nishikori vs Juncheng Shang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29f42c3cd2d40ba0b7e034fc88f3c50086f9c59bf9b311ebfec2ce2e4540b2c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kei Nishikoriof Kei Nishikori, Juncheng Shang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,050,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,185,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,050,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 480 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d6d…2654backed Kei Nishikori | 46c | 210,855$97,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,830.13 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Juncheng Shang | 52c | 81,900$42,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,466.16 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kei Nishikori | 72c | 45,811$32,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,961.34 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Juncheng Shang | 51c | 26,453$13,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,414.52 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Kei Nishikori | 77c | 25,637$19,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,792.43 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x760f…326abacked Kei Nishikori | 49c | 20,367$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,366.8 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Kei Nishikori | 74c | 15,603$11,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,109.8 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Juncheng Shang | 48c | 15,121$7,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,329.14 | 278 | 36.7%102 W · 176 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Juncheng Shang | 55c | 14,465$7,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,955.89 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…5af9backed Kei Nishikori | 71c | 13,844$9,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,037.22 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Juncheng Shang | 56c | 12,500$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Kei Nishikori | 76c | 11,820$8,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,877.32 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kei Nishikori | 79c | 10,308$8,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.68 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Kei Nishikori | 47c | 10,017$4,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,309.01 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Juncheng Shang | 54c | 9,368$5,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,055.09 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Juncheng Shang | 56c | 8,749$4,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,901.19 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Kei Nishikori | 45c | 8,633$3,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,731.15 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x492b…45eebacked Kei Nishikori | 46c | 8,491$3,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,564.78 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Kei Nishikori | 32c | 8,165$2,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,567.32 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Juncheng Shang | 52c | 8,145$4,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,270.8 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Juncheng Shang | 58c | 6,769$3,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,934.62 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Kei Nishikori | 40c | 6,406$2,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,843.83 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Juncheng Shang | 63c | 6,300$3,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,969 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Juncheng Shang | 59c | 6,152$3,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,629.55 | 156 | 65.4%102 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Juncheng Shang | 46c | 5,588$2,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,581.67 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Juncheng Shang | 23c | 5,274$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.6 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Kei Nishikori | 36c | 5,250$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,352.47 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Juncheng Shang | 57c | 5,092$2,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,892.69 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Juncheng Shang | 57c | 5,025$2,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864.45 | 348 | 57.2%199 W · 149 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Juncheng Shang | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Kei Nishikori | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Kei Nishikori | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Juncheng Shang | 54c | 5,000$2,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,675.58 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc293…fac3backed Kei Nishikori | 40c | 4,682$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,809.2 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab70…774cbacked Juncheng Shang | 63c | 4,458$2,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,808.62 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Kei Nishikori | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x772f…8145backed Juncheng Shang | 73c | 3,925$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Juncheng Shang | 35c | 3,620$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.34 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Juncheng Shang | 74c | 3,604$2,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,655.68 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kei Nishikori | 58c | 3,525$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.98 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…a624backed Juncheng Shang | 52c | 3,404$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.19 | 115 | 53.9%62 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Juncheng Shang | 54c | 3,264$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.94 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…7f32backed Kei Nishikori | 54c | 3,219$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.59 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb638…20b0backed Juncheng Shang | 54c | 3,154$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Juncheng Shang | 20c | 3,099$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.29 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Juncheng Shang | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Juncheng Shang | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Juncheng Shang | 61c | 2,450$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.17 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Juncheng Shang | 61c | 2,429$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.88 | 228 | 56.1%128 W · 100 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Juncheng Shang | 62c | 2,419$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…5782backed Kei Nishikori | 23c | 2,390$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 22cpaid | +244.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…b168backed Kei Nishikori | 23c | 2,390$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +474.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Juncheng Shang | 63c | 2,347$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.4 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a0…217abacked Kei Nishikori | 28c | 2,341$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.65 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +7.2wins | +0.31per pick | 17cpaid | +210.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d7…488cbacked Kei Nishikori | 28c | 2,296$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…e81bbacked Juncheng Shang | 57c | 2,235$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.42 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Kei Nishikori | 65c | 2,136$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.55 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Kei Nishikori | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Kei Nishikori | 41c | 1,935$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.8 | 134 | 38.8%52 W · 82 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Kei Nishikori | 42c | 1,778$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.93 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Kei Nishikori | 26c | 1,717$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.63 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Juncheng Shang | 39c | 1,670$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.3 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Kei Nishikori | 57c | 1,632$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.78 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb78…e498backed Kei Nishikori | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Kei Nishikori | 44c | 1,579$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.33 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Juncheng Shang | 43c | 1,565$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.07 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd494…bfafbacked Kei Nishikori | 29c | 1,533$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 27cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5141…ea1cbacked Kei Nishikori | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 19cpaid | +278%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7b…d719backed Kei Nishikori | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +592.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfedf…60f1backed Kei Nishikori | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 19cpaid | +278%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2e…402abacked Kei Nishikori | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.58per pick | 17cpaid | +410.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Juncheng Shang | 34c | 1,400$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.38 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…6e40backed Kei Nishikori | 30c | 1,341$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.65 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 16cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ea…ec86backed Kei Nishikori | 30c | 1,341$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 25cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e54…b186backed Kei Nishikori | 30c | 1,341$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Kei Nishikori | 44c | 1,325$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…16cabacked Juncheng Shang | 61c | 1,324$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.6 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7aa…08c3backed Juncheng Shang | 74c | 1,275$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.54 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Kei Nishikori | 67c | 1,265$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.4 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Juncheng Shang | 48c | 1,256$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.18 | 251 | 44.6%112 W · 139 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Juncheng Shang | 22c | 1,255$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.8 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Juncheng Shang | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde1e…7ac6backed Kei Nishikori | 29c | 1,198$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +129.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7528…6539backed Kei Nishikori | 29c | 1,198$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.27per pick | 19cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…0c87backed Kei Nishikori | 29c | 1,198$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 25cpaid | +140%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…ec06backed Kei Nishikori | 29c | 1,198$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.29per pick | 18cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Kei Nishikori | 30c | 1,194$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.33 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Juncheng Shang | 55c | 1,186$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.64 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Juncheng Shang | 62c | 1,139$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.59 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Kei Nishikori | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Kei Nishikori | 41c | 1,096$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.4 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Kei Nishikori | 41c | 1,062$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.28 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Kei Nishikori | 41c | 1,062$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.28 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Juncheng Shang | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Juncheng Shang | 55c | 1,051$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.24 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d2…d00fbacked Kei Nishikori | 47c | 1,032$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.8 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Kei Nishikori | 46c | 1,026$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.12 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Juncheng Shang | 56c | 1,018$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.54 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Kei Nishikori | 37c | 1,017$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.84 | 390 | 46.4%181 W · 209 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Juncheng Shang | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kei Nishikori vs Juncheng Shangthis page
- Nishikori vs. Shang: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Nishikori vs. Shang: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Nishikori vs ShangShang won
- Set 2 Winner: Nishikori vs ShangNishikori won
- Set Handicap: Shang (-1.5) vs Nishikori (+1.5)Nishikori won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.