TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x760f…326a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst AI at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT5848.3%28 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,050
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keysbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$15,047.62
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Cincinnati Open: Ben Shelton vs Jaime Fariabacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$357.91
National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27,080
Cincinnati Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,000
Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12,837Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,837.18
Will Tommy Paul Win ATP Montrealbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
National Bank Open: Taylor Townsend vs Belinda Bencicbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,000
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,000
National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,000
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutetbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+143.6%+$14,357.89
National Bank Open: Raphael Collignon vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+151.3%+$15,132.69
National Bank Open: Juncheng Shang vs Andrey Rublevbacked Juncheng Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+107.9%+$10,791.59
Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfilsbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$4,820Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$16,135.25
National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquetbacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$10,000
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navonebacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Canadian Open, Qualification: Adam Walton vs Justin Boulaisbacked Justin Boulais · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$3,698Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,698.36
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kei Nishikori vs Juncheng Shangbacked Kei Nishikori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+103.7%+$10,366.8
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockxbacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+160.7%+$16,072.97
Estoril Open: Alexander Blockx vs Luciano Darderibacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$6,500
Hamburg European Open: Elina Avanesyan vs Anna Bondarbacked Elina Avanesyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$679.74
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Estoril Open: Jaime Faria vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$6,111.11
Estoril Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$6,111.11
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,008.51
Will there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.02
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,594Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,593.5
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$590
Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+125.2%+$215.61
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$7,820.51
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6,588.24
Spread: England (-1.5)backed Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$7,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$11,421.05
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$929Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$929
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,775Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,775
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$4,655.66
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,270
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$541.22
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$7,046Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,046
Spread: Germany (-3.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,776Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$3,638.37
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,240
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$3,008.57
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+231.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+231.7%+$2,329.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28,360Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+98.9%+$28,050.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.