Fifa International · resolved market
Will there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bc4e348e043a7e52967b4e5b7de0a6ae1e3fd6f16a594f77c2091304458c39d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $260,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $235,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 15,684$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.46 | 202 | 1.5%3 W · 199 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1050…9393backed Yes | 5c | 15,171$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 2c | 12,248$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.05 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 25c | 8,912$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.4 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 7,523$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddc…4846backed Yes | 1c | 6,170$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…dcdebacked Yes | 0c | 5,240$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 73 | 5.5%4 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +212.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 3c | 4,644$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x760f…326abacked Yes | 4c | 4,329$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.02 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…f513backed Yes | 1c | 4,098$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 2c | 3,972$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 3,767$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00de…9fd7backed Yes | 2c | 3,711$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…05c0backed Yes | 9c | 3,068$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.1 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 5c | 3,016$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.89 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,936$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,874$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.37 | 163 | 33.7%55 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e50…9cf9backed Yes | 2c | 2,796$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…55bdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,789$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a0…f37cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,524$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1e…fbb1backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…48d0backed Yes | 1c | 1,486$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe3…dc16backed Yes | 1c | 1,371$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2270…2dfbbacked Yes | 2c | 1,224$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2697…7daebacked Yes | 1c | 1,205$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 170 | 5.9%10 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No | 75c | 1,073$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.78 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc787…800dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 996.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 167 | 4.2%7 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…96a0backed Yes | 2c | 974.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed No | 33c | 960.24$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.37 | 185 | 38.9%72 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 2c | 954.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 6c | 946.46$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 126 | 6.3%8 W · 118 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 8c | 943.22$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes | 1c | 917.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 5c | 709.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e2…7abbbacked Yes | 2c | 700.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…d183backed Yes | 7c | 660$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 2c | 611.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 5c | 598.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 17c | 476.16$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.66 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed No | 47c | 463$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.39 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 12c | 435$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 3c | 391.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 454 | 24.7%112 W · 342 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f4…c6eebacked Yes | 4c | 350$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 173 | 57.8%100 W · 73 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7881…5c15backed Yes | 16c | 311.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6142…367bbacked Yes | 15c | 300$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…4260backed Yes | 4c | 279.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 6c | 259.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 116 | 11.2%13 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256f…2fa5backed No | 39c | 256.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.63 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324d…c846backed Yes | 18c | 240$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +57%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7401…da60backed Yes | 53c | 220.6$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.21 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f74…8741backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x845a…5606backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fa…8755backed No | 26c | 188.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.42 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2db…ffcbbacked Yes | 7c | 183.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 34c | 181.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.11 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 7c | 175$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa06e…f56fbacked Yes | 7c | 172.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 112 | 4.5%5 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22fa…8135backed No | 42c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.65 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda68…d77fbacked Yes | 33c | 144.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed No | 26c | 120$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 16c | 110$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 13c | 105$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…b72ebacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfec1…b807backed Yes | 14c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 38c | 83.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…966cbacked Yes | 67c | 69.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7408…0d0abacked Yes | 67c | 67.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 37c | 61.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727e…8b9dbacked Yes | 25c | 61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.0wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 76c | 54.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd5…5551backed No | 36c | 54.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.32per pick | 50cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…ecc7backed Yes | 52c | 53.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…6ef4backed No | 47c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b25…ff39backed No | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…e621backed No | 70c | 25.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 70 | 72.9%51 W · 19 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2c…ad2fbacked Yes | 78c | 24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3c…de59backed Yes | 76c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…e99bbacked No | 46c | 22.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…78b9backed Yes | 63c | 21.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -9.0wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…1dfdbacked Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -15.0wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…4c92backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will there be 15+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will there be 20+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will there be 25+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will there be 30+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will there be 35+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will there be 40+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will there be 50+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.