TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x211a…6ef4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
131
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Commodities, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6036.7%22 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will the announcers say "Powerade" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.15
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+517.3%+$58.66
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.7
Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+113.8%+$27.15
Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will Nico Williams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+159.9%+$31.99
Will the announcers say "Powerade" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brahim Díaz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$18
Will Bruno Fernandes record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
Will Cristiano Ronaldo's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldobacked Ronaldo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.4
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.14
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.02
Will Igor Thiago be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.23
Will Igor Thiago score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.54
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+31.3%+$17.81
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$113
Will Club Brugge KV vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+132.6%+$132.56
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$27.9
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+27.3%+$95.71
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+27%+$121.55
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$421.05
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$21.3
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.81
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+65.7%+$32.85
Will Mallorca vs. Getafe end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Getafe win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+53.8%+$13.46
Will Alaves win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Girona vs. Alaves end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick72cpaid-67.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+123.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+63.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$111
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.