Fifa International · resolved market
Will Cristiano Ronaldo's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44f5ad5221518930abed164bb89a7f17711bbdac95277ee3bdaa0af0c8769839
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked No | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…f868backed Yes | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,063$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.22 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f93…d848backed No | 70c | 1,007$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.48 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 73c | 903.58$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.98 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 827.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x241a…28d6backed Yes | 19c | 822.58$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 64c | 812.88$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.51 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 39c | 675.06$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.9 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 40c | 614.9$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.51 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb076…bb35backed Yes | 40c | 592.1$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.38 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 18c | 589.12$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.75 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed No | 58c | 581.7$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.51 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 20c | 542.79$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.45 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7923…6c0bbacked No | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 17c | 477.41$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 79c | 437.85$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.82 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 19c | 393.05$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.24 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8491…f31fbacked Yes | 33c | 380.67$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 70c | 374.1$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.18 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 74c | 353.65$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.64 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 74c | 343.01$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.27 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 68c | 341.84$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.75 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5797…c232backed Yes | 18c | 335.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked No | 75c | 330$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.94 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 63c | 328$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.55 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96f…1f5cbacked No | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.86 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e3…7233backed Yes | 19c | 306$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…c5f5backed No | 76c | 283.53$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.81 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd59…0a77backed Yes | 19c | 267.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 28c | 265.53$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.29 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x828f…fa80backed Yes | 38c | 265.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 27%24 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 76c | 253.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18af…f909backed Yes | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 38c | 247.04$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.88 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0295…ed9dbacked Yes | 41c | 241.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 46c | 239.81$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e2…2964backed Yes | 42c | 237.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 60c | 207.14$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.04 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5035…cf0dbacked No | 57c | 198.82$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.82 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -8.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ba…bf01backed Yes | 15c | 195.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…c368backed Yes | 28c | 179.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 78c | 176$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb37…ff74backed Yes | 33c | 175$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 88 | 22.7%20 W · 68 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e66…4c71backed Yes | 13c | 164.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -83%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed No | 68c | 160.09$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed No | 68c | 146.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…6b2bbacked Yes | 40c | 132.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 18c | 132.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Yes | 19c | 128$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 293 | 41%120 W · 173 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7394…6b87backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…af22backed No | 58c | 124.7$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf18…5fd3backed Yes | 42c | 119.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba5…fc9bbacked Yes | 42c | 119.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79de…2f63backed Yes | 41c | 119.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5146…ac5ebacked Yes | 41c | 116.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac34…5cbdbacked Yes | 42c | 114.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 19c | 111.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…b37abacked Yes | 36c | 110.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd3…9f85backed Yes | 14c | 103.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd311…61b4backed Yes | 12c | 102.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 58c | 102.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 15c | 102.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed3…2268backed Yes | 47c | 101.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…c910backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…5460backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…43e2backed Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked Yes | 34c | 99.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 24c | 99.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…3940backed Yes | 18c | 88.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8a…1d84backed Yes | 36c | 83.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 56c | 82.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…7028backed Yes | 24c | 82.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9559…4913backed Yes | 24c | 81.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2815…7f0cbacked Yes | 41c | 73.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…8e54backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6574…3230backed No | 58c | 66.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 65c | 64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…dbe9backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…2030backed No | 54c | 60.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 66c | 52.45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 59c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c21…9de3backed Yes | 42c | 51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…74f9backed No | 53c | 50.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +11.6wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7114…6432backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…eebfbacked Yes | 39c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f7…0312backed Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b73…e9f3backed No | 68c | 49.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09be…27cebacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 61c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 73c | 45.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 46c | 41.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…dcf7backed No | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 64c | 39.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Neymar Jr.'s national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.