TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5035…cf0d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
182
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 63 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9629.2%28 W · 68 L-8.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.06
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.51
World Cup: Ronaldo to Score 2+ Penalties?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+82.7%+$12.4
Will Cristiano Ronaldo's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$84.82
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Neymar Jr.'s national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$980
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.77
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$26
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$47.72
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advancebacked Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$63.25
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.95
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+119.1%+$301.22
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT5149%25 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+1,218.5%+$2,802.57
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$95.12
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.77
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$38.67
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$63
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$24.82
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+98.2%+$143.42
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+103.6%+$72.49
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$156.44
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will The MongolZ qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+107.8%+$85.18
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$273.84
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.84
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+4.0wins+0.40per pick50cpaid+88.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jalen Brunson lead the 2026 NBA Finals in total points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.4
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$62.22
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+133.2%+$86.56
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.3
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+38.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+63.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+73.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$766.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$190.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+59%+$29.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.