CS2 · resolved market
Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1935d5eea9057f14a71ef76bb69676ddf94fe7de1b00f4eab6b6f23950c6d01c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 68c | 8,589$5,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.29 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes | 37c | 7,450$2,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,785.66 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 43c | 3,000$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.92 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 57c | 2,550$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.54 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…570bbacked Yes | 38c | 2,067$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.86 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Yes | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf7…294abacked No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 48c | 1,778$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.7 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Yes | 30c | 1,229$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.88 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed Yes | 57c | 1,003$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.43 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf076…4079backed Yes | 32c | 943.84$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…801bbacked No | 55c | 922.35$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.71 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 43c | 838.5$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.85 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed Yes | 39c | 810.64$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.3 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Yes | 32c | 730.46$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.03 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Yes | 42c | 724.08$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.18 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 42c | 715.64$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.07 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…cb2abacked No | 56c | 673.5$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.16 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 66c | 673.49$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.63 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0968…0165backed Yes | 43c | 622.7$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked No | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…578ebacked Yes | 44c | 596.87$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2915…6cdbbacked Yes | 33c | 557.53$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 21c | 529.07$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.19 | 160 | 23.8%38 W · 122 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…0919backed Yes | 44c | 521.53$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.47 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 4c | 500.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 75 | 9.3%7 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed Yes | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07b…541dbacked No | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 36c | 492$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.12 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 54c | 477.31$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.62 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef3…4e28backed Yes | 46c | 474.24$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0446…5e51backed Yes | 42c | 466.92$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 75c | 438.08$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.52 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x996a…e3ccbacked Yes | 36c | 401.23$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.44 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…013ebacked No | 66c | 399.99$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Yes | 45c | 392.42$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3a…5998backed Yes | 33c | 375$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ded…fae7backed Yes | 37c | 368.56$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 57c | 327.04$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.39 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +204.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 38c | 325.05$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.58 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe9…4829backed No | 59c | 310.76$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.97 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46de…84eabacked Yes | 40c | 290$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Yes | 30c | 251.3$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.39 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5035…cf0dbacked No | 58c | 225.12$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 56c | 214.8$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.59 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…b23ebacked Yes | 35c | 204.74$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed No | 60c | 201.17$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.46 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8919…d64ebacked No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 10c | 199.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 194 | 23.7%46 W · 148 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e5…99f9backed Yes | 43c | 192$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…9351backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +62%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50de…16f0backed Yes | 36c | 178.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…793dbacked Yes | 33c | 177.65$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed No | 56c | 176.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.19 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 57c | 175$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…6604backed Yes | 54c | 160.2$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 17c | 148.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…f212backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed Yes | 14c | 135.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…4e6cbacked No | 67c | 129.02$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 277 | 49.5%137 W · 140 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…be62backed Yes | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 32c | 110$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…6609backed No | 65c | 109.26$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked No | 66c | 101$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 10c | 101$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Yes | 55c | 101$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4de…3920backed Yes | 44c | 100.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58bb…a539backed Yes | 44c | 100.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 56c | 100.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4070…cedfbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c2…93d0backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed34…5a7fbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…2eacbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…78b9backed Yes | 51c | 98.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed No | 62c | 88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…0e12backed Yes | 43c | 82.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4298…c485backed Yes | 56c | 82.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 19c | 78.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x970e…b78dbacked Yes | 38c | 78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2257…d638backed Yes | 31c | 76.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…0f4abacked Yes | 43c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…143dbacked Yes | 36c | 71.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 57c | 70.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 69c | 60.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…c0e9backed Yes | 48c | 58.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da6…e563backed No | 35c | 46.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 68c | 43.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 368 | 46.7%172 W · 196 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482e…7d98backed Yes | 38c | 35.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0f…3476backed Yes | 40c | 35.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -64%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2f21…8af5backed No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d75…8f8abacked Yes | 41c | 31.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…8adabacked No | 61c | 28.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 66c | 25.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe027…6cbbbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?this page
- Will Astralis reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Aurora reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will FURIA reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes won
- Will G2 reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will GamerLegion reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will MOUZ reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Natus Vincere reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will PARIVISION reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will The MongolZ reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Vitality reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.