CS2 · resolved market
Will MOUZ reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb02ed79142fa18e6095fa09af239a2955643dd8541461aecca03056ba8bb519
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Yes | 6c | 9,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…65e7backed Yes | 6c | 7,946$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.68 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0968…0165backed Yes | 5c | 3,762$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 5c | 1,199$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 75 | 9.3%7 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b0…acdebacked Yes | 5c | 1,190$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 404$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4131…d591backed Yes | 9c | 303$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed Yes | 11c | 294$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked Yes | 9c | 207.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -58%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 133$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…801bbacked Yes | 9c | 120$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76b…8a50backed Yes | 9c | 109.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will MOUZ reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?this page
- Will Astralis reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Aurora reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will FURIA reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes won
- Will G2 reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will GamerLegion reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Natus Vincere reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will PARIVISION reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will The MongolZ reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Vitality reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.