CS2 · resolved market
Will Aurora reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94eaf0dfb5812ea1137f1bb4b4f63e373c54e63d2c817a728c1e6241001f0ffb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Yes | 11c | 7,900$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.9 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 38c | 6,861$2,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,604.21 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…2380backed No | 60c | 5,833$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.33 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…cb2abacked Yes | 37c | 5,722$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,122.19 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 48c | 2,061$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.19 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 74c | 1,725$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.74 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…ea53backed Yes | 21c | 1,376$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.01 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07b…541dbacked No | 61c | 1,257$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.11 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 73c | 1,229$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.06 | 1,546 | 33.8%523 W · 1,023 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 32c | 1,108$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.02 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cb…2badbacked No | 78c | 1,001$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.44 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…6609backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked No | 75c | 966.3$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.3 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed No | 78c | 959.88$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.82 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 12c | 818$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…3075backed Yes | 23c | 700$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Yes | 39c | 700$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed No | 58c | 648.54$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.03 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 65c | 561.15$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 43c | 514.7$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.17 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398f…ccb0backed Yes | 26c | 497.61$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 8c | 459.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165e…f5aabacked No | 61c | 402.16$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.16 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes | 41c | 400$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2db…ffcbbacked No | 74c | 350.96$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 78c | 327.16$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed No | 76c | 290$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.26 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 17c | 282.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed No | 76c | 282$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 9c | 280$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 9c | 266$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 75 | 9.3%7 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…6604backed No | 74c | 262.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Yes | 26c | 235.37$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 24c | 210$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…1071backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 74c | 198$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Yes | 26c | 192.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 21c | 182$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8234…bfd0backed Yes | 53c | 157.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.96 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 155.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb682…7db4backed No | 77c | 155$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 19c | 153.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 24c | 151.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x145d…98edbacked Yes | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683b…c863backed Yes | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5975…2f1cbacked No | 65c | 141$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.06 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…f7e6backed Yes | 24c | 134.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06c7…2b75backed Yes | 22c | 133.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 20c | 126.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -58%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 76c | 117.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 10c | 116.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 25c | 115.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 75c | 111$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 13c | 110.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 21c | 109$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 47c | 105$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 79c | 104$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Yes | 41c | 101$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe9…4829backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…6b2bbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2092…a752backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd862…f135backed No | 71c | 99.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…570bbacked No | 46c | 91.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 59c | 90.51$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0968…0165backed Yes | 21c | 67.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad1e…2ad4backed No | 48c | 62.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 23c | 62.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb922…1d3ebacked Yes | 21c | 55.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6acb…3cd3backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07f5…d680backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 53c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 480 | 52.3%251 W · 229 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…bff4backed No | 74c | 34.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…c267backed No | 79c | 24.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 64c | 17.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aurora reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?this page
- Will Astralis reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will FURIA reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes won
- Will G2 reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will GamerLegion reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will MOUZ reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Natus Vincere reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will PARIVISION reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will The MongolZ reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Vitality reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.