TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb922…1d3e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
210
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5352.8%28 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will the announcers say "Shakira" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+225.2%+$33.77
Will the announcers say "Tom Cruise" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$38.67
Will the announcers say "Maradona" or "Pelé" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$133.57
Will 5+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$207
Will the announcers say "Red Card" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$98.9
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$88
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$31.72
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Lionel Messi: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Martin Ødegaard: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$44.33
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$105.41
Achraf Hakimi: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
France vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Luis Díaz: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$71.01
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Antonio Nusa: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$95.31
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT5056%28 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aurora reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$12.06
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$16
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$49.77
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winnerbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$14
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.02
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+87.7%+$38.49
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$33.19
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+91.3%+$76.67
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.12
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.7
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$39.26
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$12.84
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$27.26
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+6.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$30
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.16
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT3959%23 W · 16 L-0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.77
Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$8.05
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.61
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$12
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.93
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.7
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.75
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$16.74
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$59.89
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$26.13
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.18
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19.44
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$37.72
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT2846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 2 Winner: Droguet vs Carabellibacked Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+59%+$7.67
Set 1 Winner: Galan vs Baillybacked Bailly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.15
Iasi Open, Qualification: Ilinca Amariei vs Carmen Andreea Hereabacked Carmen Andreea Herea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.97
Set 3 Winner: Fritz vs Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set 2 Winner: Fritz vs Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
ITF Amstelveen: Manvydas Balciunas vs Abel Forgerbacked Abel Forger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$86.87
Set 4 Winner: Hurkacz vs Paulbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Set 3 Winner: Hurkacz vs Paulbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Set 2 Winner: Hurkacz vs Paulbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Set 1 Winner: Hurkacz vs Paulbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$55.93
ITF Cary: Kristina Liutova vs Sofia Johnsonbacked Sofia Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
ITF San Diego: Vignesh Gogineni vs Stian Klaassenbacked Vignesh Gogineni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$49.24
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Alexandrova/Joint vs Erjavec/Marcinkobacked Erjavec/Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Wimbledon ATP: Nicolas Mejia vs Michael Zhengbacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Troyes: Luca Staeheli vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondesbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Plovdiv: Andres Santamarta vs Inaki Montesbacked Andres Santamarta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.72
ITF Kamen: Anastasiia Firman vs Eva Marie Voracekbacked Eva Marie Voracek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$26.59
Targu Mures: Felix Balshaw vs Andrej Nedicbacked Andrej Nedic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Piracicaba: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Luis Felipe Miguel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Caty McNally vs Petra Marcinkobacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$35.36
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Moez Echarguibacked Moez Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Tristan Boyerbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Nicolas Mejia vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$15.67
ITF Monastir: Mathys Picard vs Isaac Becroftbacked Isaac Becroft · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.16
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Mackenzie McDonald vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Mackenzie McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.25
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+239.2%+$186.56
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.5
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+126.1%+$115.5
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.04
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$69.1
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+265.3%+$50.41
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$24.69
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.46
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$41.63
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.81
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.86
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$71.12
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$35.07
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$29.14
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.03
Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
James Harden: Points O/U 19.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.99
All 10 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$49.39
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs BBL Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs G2 Gozen (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$36.63
Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group Abacked CGN Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Valorant: REBORN vs Enterprise Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group Abacked NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.97
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+73.8%+$11.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.