TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Maradona" or "Pelé" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,112
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,989

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,112 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4337…8882backed No44c2,222$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.6621836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a08…c2e6backed Yes56c1,071$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.243250%16 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f09…38c3backed Yes56c861.71$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.15475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No46c796.28$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.313044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8478…4f11backed Yes56c737.75$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.175100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed No44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked No40c447.42$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.2723357.9%135 W · 98 L+19.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xffc5…67a5backed Yes54c410$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.81546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No44c347.16$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.7514323.8%34 W · 109 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb922…1d3ebacked Yes56c303.57$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.575352.8%28 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed Yes52c240$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.424037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes58c199.99$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9955044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc13f…c336backed Yes56c184.44$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.153132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed Yes54c179.47$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5612534.4%43 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d5…8935backed No40c173.31$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.331758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes56c166.3$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1779231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6634151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes56c110$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.420031%62 W · 138 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4413148.9%64 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6d4…3e55backed Yes56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444240.5%17 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae7a…25eabacked No46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.55848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes61c97.18$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.132,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a5…3eb7backed Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4708…9580backed Yes69c93.75$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.064226.2%11 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-64.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc0dc…74f9backed Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eec…5ca3backed Yes60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.338966.3%59 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc79c…7b27backed Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.972458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+37.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No28c81.74$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9648961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No43c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3901…9761backed No46c68.51$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.514557.8%26 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Yes56c68.18$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3038155.4%211 W · 170 L-0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Yes56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.413251.5%68 W · 64 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7243…83f0backed Yes56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.45549.1%27 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes75c50.32$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5817945.3%81 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2387…abe1backed No44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x018a…9522backed Yes64c43.9$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.883951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed No44c43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9211038.2%42 W · 68 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes63c41.93$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6517652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13de…fd91backed Yes69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.45541.8%23 W · 32 L-7.0wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes60c36.72$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6975729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No43c34.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.878,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed Yes54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.810454.8%57 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes58c26.11$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9741231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd366…88f5backed Yes60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9812…8b8dbacked No44c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.564045%18 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.842737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc468…009dbacked Yes55c19.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94847.9%23 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.