TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xffc5…67a5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
145
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: World Politics, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 60 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT8333.7%28 W · 55 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NYC Air Quality Index below 100 by July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Philadelphia Air Quality Index below 100 by July 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.34
Chicago Air Quality Index below 100 by July 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.74
Chicago Air Quality Index below 100 by July 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
Philadelphia Air Quality Index below 100 by July 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+105%+$97.3
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.06
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$16.58
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.16
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.23
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.01
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$18.4
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.38
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+207.6%+$30.37
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.36
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.31
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.82
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.97
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+208.5%+$31.66
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+164.3%+$53.46
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.73
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+316.1%+$40.28
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$571.91
Will the announcers say "Legacy" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$76.36
Will the announcers say "Maradona" or "Pelé" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$189.8
Will the World Cup Final national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+240.7%+$99.96
Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.88
Will the announcers say "Powerade" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.57
Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$76.05
Désiré Doué: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$33.49
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$49
World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+148.4%+$100.42
Christian Pulisic: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.9
All 15 picks, newest first.
Earningslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lowe's (LOW) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.12
Will Etsy (ETSY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$469
Will Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.08
Will Clorox (CLX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.49
Will Amazon.com (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.75
Will O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.34
Will CBRE Group (CBRE) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.59
Will General Motors say "GMC" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$7.68
Will General Motors say "Revenue" 10+ times during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$15.95
Will General Motors say "Truck" 5+ times during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$14
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+271.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+53.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+471%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Sarajevo vs. FC Inter Turku: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+471.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+471.7%+$255.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+427.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+427.1%+$205.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jeff Bezos Announced as New Liverpool Owner in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$74.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$181.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lauri Saaskilahti Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.