Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Muchova vs Gauff
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6d5671a291894e9e8bde3d92c1f6c74e113f588f513a07485ca0c917e0a0473
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gauffof Muchova, Gauff
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Gauff | 50c | 10,691$5,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,345.72 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Muchova | 50c | 10,289$5,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,144.47 | 1,206 | 49%591 W · 615 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Gauff | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 1,437 | 28.5%409 W · 1,028 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Muchova | 41c | 1,542$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Muchova | 51c | 1,373$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.22 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Muchova | 35c | 1,308$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.35 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…ffe8backed Muchova | 62c | 1,159$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.51 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Gauff | 55c | 1,039$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.72 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…3839backed Gauff | 50c | 984.77$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.04 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…15ffbacked Gauff | 40c | 606.68$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.01 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed Muchova | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 208 | 46.2%96 W · 112 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40c6…59efbacked Gauff | 46c | 423.46$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Muchova | 50c | 391.06$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.01 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked Muchova | 51c | 385$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.35 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…6e14backed Muchova | 43c | 349.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Muchova | 51c | 329.19$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.89 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0129…e3c9backed Gauff | 45c | 291.31$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.22 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Muchova | 54c | 271.6$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Gauff | 47c | 256.17$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.17 | 1,579 | 39.8%629 W · 950 L | -34.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Gauff | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Gauff | 50c | 249.78$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.13 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Muchova | 50c | 232.5$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.25 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3e…061cbacked Gauff | 45c | 217.78$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.78 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Gauff | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…939ebacked Gauff | 49c | 191.84$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.84 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Muchova | 51c | 181.12$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.18 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Muchova | 51c | 172.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Muchova | 57c | 138$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.26 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Muchova | 36c | 129.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Gauff | 65c | 118.09$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99eb…e4c1backed Gauff | 46c | 109.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Muchova | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,009 | 38.3%386 W · 623 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc5…67a5backed Gauff | 41c | 72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Gauff | 55c | 68.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 234 | 51.7%121 W · 113 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Gauff | 58c | 65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Muchova | 57c | 60.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Gauff | 47c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf025…48f8backed Muchova | 30c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…58e8backed Gauff | 59c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf63b…222cbacked Muchova | 41c | 36.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -50%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Gauff | 44c | 34.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 580 | 45.5%264 W · 316 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Muchova | 45c | 31.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Muchova | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf89…e458backed Muchova | 60c | 20.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d77…523fbacked Muchova | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 56cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Muchova vs Gauffthis page
- Karolina Muchova vs. Coco Gauff: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Muchova vs. Gauff: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Muchova vs. Gauff: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Muchova vs. Gauff: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Muchova vs. Gauff: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Muchova vs GauffMuchova won
- Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Gauff (+1.5)Gauff won
- Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco GauffKarolina Muchova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.