Tennis · resolved market
Muchova vs. Gauff: Match O/U 22.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x177c9fbf9f6fb07ee532f9b479204d8ae9126954dcea981a9c3ab968eda1550c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 52c | 19,115$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,115.46 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 48c | 13,033$6,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,255.91 | 1,158 | 41.4%479 W · 679 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 48c | 4,684$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.46 | 332 | 34%113 W · 219 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 4,193$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.57 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9217…ce22backed Over | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.95 | 576 | 49.5%285 W · 291 L | -32.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.01 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,515 | 37.7%571 W · 944 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Over | 51c | 856.03$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.54 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Under | 48c | 848.46$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.34 | 372 | 47.3%176 W · 196 L | -17.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Under | 49c | 479.9$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.75 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 49c | 388.47$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.35 | 1,047 | 50%524 W · 523 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 60c | 281.25$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.75 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked Over | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Under | 45c | 195.56$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 39c | 169.31$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 2,433 | 50.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L | +81.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Under | 51c | 150$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Over | 53c | 141.11$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.32 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…c6f3backed Over | 51c | 127.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 49c | 126.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 447 | 42.3%189 W · 258 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 48c | 109$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…43b2backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Under | 45c | 71.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 48c | 62.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 45c | 62.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…880ebacked Over | 51c | 59.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 52c | 56.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over | 55c | 54.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Under | 45c | 49.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085a…58a8backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Under | 49c | 44.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 48c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 304 | 36.8%112 W · 192 L | -19.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 51c | 33.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 158 | 37.3%59 W · 99 L | -19.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Over | 53c | 27.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Under | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 48c | 22.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 300 | 55%165 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Muchova vs. Gauff: Match O/U 22.5this page
- Karolina Muchova vs. Coco Gauff: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Muchova vs. Gauff: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Muchova vs. Gauff: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Muchova vs. Gauff: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Muchova vs GauffMuchova won
- Set 2 Winner: Muchova vs GauffGauff won
- Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Gauff (+1.5)Gauff won
- Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco GauffKarolina Muchova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.