Tennis · resolved market
Karolina Muchova vs. Coco Gauff: Total Sets O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b30dde221d3b9d6a1bb6e6d7a7146ae277342b17ff8ab9e0f3dc7822796cc43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Over 2.5of Over 2.5, Under 2.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under 2.5 | 55c | 4,316$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.27 | 311 | 33.8%105 W · 206 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Over 2.5 | 45c | 3,370$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.21 | 1,257 | 56.6%711 W · 546 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Over 2.5 | 44c | 2,214$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.61 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Under 2.5 | 56c | 1,493$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.85 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Under 2.5 | 56c | 1,284$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.23 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe61f…2c30backed Over 2.5 | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.42per pick | 47cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over 2.5 | 50c | 992.02$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.01 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +36.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over 2.5 | 36c | 985.95$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.01 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Over 2.5 | 44c | 910$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.6 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over 2.5 | 46c | 569.39$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.47 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Over 2.5 | 21c | 530$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.9 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Over 2.5 | 17c | 433$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.07 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Under 2.5 | 55c | 417.02$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.36 | 990 | 49.4%489 W · 501 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over 2.5 | 45c | 393.98$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.69 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over 2.5 | 52c | 314.85$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.45 | 2,399 | 50.6%1,215 W · 1,184 L | +76.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over 2.5 | 40c | 298.14$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.52 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Over 2.5 | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 221 | 46.2%102 W · 119 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under 2.5 | 57c | 202.27$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.27 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Over 2.5 | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Under 2.5 | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…6b98backed Under 2.5 | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over 2.5 | 19c | 198$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.52 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under 2.5 | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,575 | 46.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169c…ea8bbacked Over 2.5 | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…c76dbacked Over 2.5 | 45c | 111.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…b55cbacked Over 2.5 | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed Over 2.5 | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under 2.5 | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,204 | 40.5%1,299 W · 1,905 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under 2.5 | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,412 | 39.1%1,335 W · 2,077 L | -11.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf8…5b60backed Over 2.5 | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Under 2.5 | 54c | 92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 1,802 | 58.9%1,062 W · 740 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked Over 2.5 | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 129 | 42.6%55 W · 74 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x831f…cc50backed Over 2.5 | 45c | 81.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.77 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…b0ccbacked Over 2.5 | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Under 2.5 | 55c | 70.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under 2.5 | 41c | 65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under 2.5 | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under 2.5 | 54c | 51.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,142 | 37.3%799 W · 1,343 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed Over 2.5 | 44c | 47.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 549 | 55.2%303 W · 246 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…fd9ebacked Over 2.5 | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over 2.5 | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over 2.5 | 44c | 38.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under 2.5 | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Under 2.5 | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54c3…ef9fbacked Over 2.5 | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Over 2.5 | 42c | 28.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…fe1abacked Under 2.5 | 58c | 28.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe711…6b84backed Over 2.5 | 78c | 27.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe005…090abacked Over 2.5 | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under 2.5 | 54c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Karolina Muchova vs. Coco Gauff: Total Sets O/U 2.5this page
- Muchova vs. Gauff: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Muchova vs. Gauff: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Muchova vs. Gauff: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Muchova vs. Gauff: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Muchova vs GauffMuchova won
- Set 2 Winner: Muchova vs GauffGauff won
- Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Gauff (+1.5)Gauff won
- Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco GauffKarolina Muchova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.