TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe005…090a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 57 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT4843.8%21 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+55.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
France vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.23
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+259.7%+$90.24
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+101.6%+$38.61
Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+143.2%+$37.24
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+109.7%+$22.16
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.53
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+102%+$27.55
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+105.3%+$28.42
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+142.3%+$32.59
Spread: Germany (-2.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.16
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.35
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2729.6%8 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Kolar (+1.5)backed Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Karolina Muchova vs. Coco Gauff: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$14.67
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovicbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+108.6%+$11.95
Wimbledon WTA: Elise Mertens vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Set Handicap: Humbert (-1.5) vs Bergs (+1.5)backed Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.97
Set Handicap: Keys (-1.5) vs Maria (+1.5)backed Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Bad Homburg Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Noskova (+1.5)backed Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Grass Court Championships: Alexandra Eala vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Set Handicap: Kyrgios (-1.5) vs Shimabukuro (+1.5)backed Kyrgios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5)backed Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.34
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.58
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+356.4%+$44.2
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.27
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Machac vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$3.59
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Jelena Ostapenko vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+141.7%+$38.84
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
BNP Paribas Open: Alex Michelsen vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Bublik vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.1
BNP Paribas Open: Ben Shelton vs Learner Tienbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.41
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.45
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.57
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$23.62
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$9.31
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-48.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-45.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+142.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.