Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open: Alex Michelsen vs Taylor Fritz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdaf10e4f2b39ec7549e1af4a9c5b03e8ac45a0ceec4a5260f3d0e8c297eb2f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex Michelsenof Alex Michelsen, Taylor Fritz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $686,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $686,978 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 300 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Taylor Fritz | 32c | 77,496$24,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,888.4 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Alex Michelsen | 62c | 30,241$18,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,614.59 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Taylor Fritz | 57c | 28,820$16,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,498.71 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alex Michelsen | 58c | 26,863$15,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,164.52 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Taylor Fritz | 56c | 19,223$10,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,710.25 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alex Michelsen | 67c | 18,981$12,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,278.01 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Taylor Fritz | 45c | 17,373$7,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,813.82 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…7da3backed Alex Michelsen | 19c | 13,238$2,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,662.49 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +291.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x601a…a675backed Alex Michelsen | 64c | 10,455$6,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,717.29 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Taylor Fritz | 40c | 8,730$3,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,492 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Alex Michelsen | 72c | 8,131$5,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.63 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Taylor Fritz | 28c | 7,934$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.17 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Alex Michelsen | 67c | 7,650$5,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.45 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Taylor Fritz | 44c | 7,200$3,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,169.51 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…c927backed Taylor Fritz | 19c | 6,684$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.08 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c64…0d1fbacked Alex Michelsen | 2c | 6,500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,385 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.98per pick | 2cpaid | +5,552.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab1…875bbacked Alex Michelsen | 2c | 6,500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,385 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.98per pick | 2cpaid | +5,552.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…ead2backed Alex Michelsen | 62c | 5,645$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.16 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Alex Michelsen | 2c | 5,410$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,324.5 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed Alex Michelsen | 2c | 5,400$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,304 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +3,712.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Alex Michelsen | 2c | 5,400$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,304 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.36per pick | 5cpaid | +836.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xacc4…df93backed Alex Michelsen | 1c | 5,000$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,930 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 2cpaid | +3,471.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Taylor Fritz | 42c | 4,357$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.34 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Taylor Fritz | 7c | 4,279$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 287 | 24.4%70 W · 217 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061c…fc57backed Alex Michelsen | 1c | 4,000$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,950 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.99per pick | 1cpaid | +7,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Taylor Fritz | 11c | 3,680$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.57 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Taylor Fritz | 37c | 3,515$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.81 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…f7f1backed Taylor Fritz | 53c | 3,509$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Alex Michelsen | 28c | 3,453$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,486.23 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…4273backed Alex Michelsen | 2c | 3,413$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,328.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 4cpaid | +711.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Alex Michelsen | 29c | 3,380$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b9…771dbacked Taylor Fritz | 16c | 3,043$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.66 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Taylor Fritz | 35c | 2,923$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.3 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed Alex Michelsen | 57c | 2,919$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.08 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Taylor Fritz | 42c | 2,844$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.47 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Alex Michelsen | 27c | 2,843$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.19 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef0…f14cbacked Alex Michelsen | 6c | 2,700$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed Alex Michelsen | 1c | 2,500$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 3cpaid | +1,288.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e36…3fd0backed Alex Michelsen | 5c | 2,300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 14cpaid | +320.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Alex Michelsen | 54c | 2,232$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.56 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Alex Michelsen | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 2cpaid | +506.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f0…923bbacked Alex Michelsen | 2c | 2,000$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +271.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…d0fabacked Alex Michelsen | 4c | 2,000$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +440.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Alex Michelsen | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 453 | 43.9%199 W · 254 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Taylor Fritz | 40c | 1,759$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.02 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Taylor Fritz | 41c | 1,576$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e8…b293backed Taylor Fritz | 3c | 1,333$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 203 | 37.9%77 W · 126 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ad…a5cabacked Taylor Fritz | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 119 | 19.3%23 W · 96 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Taylor Fritz | 46c | 1,311$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.11 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed Taylor Fritz | 40c | 1,300$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Taylor Fritz | 39c | 1,295$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Taylor Fritz | 43c | 1,255$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.6 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Taylor Fritz | 34c | 1,244$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.49 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed Alex Michelsen | 7c | 1,200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 12cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed99…2677backed Taylor Fritz | 36c | 1,186$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Taylor Fritz | 72c | 1,097$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed Taylor Fritz | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -9.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Taylor Fritz | 37c | 1,046$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Taylor Fritz | 48c | 1,039$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…b56abacked Taylor Fritz | 42c | 1,002$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Alex Michelsen | 29c | 998.83$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.17 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Taylor Fritz | 50c | 992.24$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…af03backed Taylor Fritz | 46c | 921.52$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd1…cef5backed Taylor Fritz | 43c | 900$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked Alex Michelsen | 5c | 900$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 8cpaid | +199.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35d9…d520backed Alex Michelsen | 26c | 900$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5f…7a4ebacked Taylor Fritz | 71c | 884.09$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.71 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Alex Michelsen | 29c | 872.41$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.41 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Taylor Fritz | 25c | 865.36$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.27 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…b921backed Taylor Fritz | 2c | 863.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…6a55backed Alex Michelsen | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Alex Michelsen | 29c | 860$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.6 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…acbabacked Taylor Fritz | 48c | 844.04$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.14 | 257 | 64.6%166 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Taylor Fritz | 71c | 814.52$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.34 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Alex Michelsen | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Alex Michelsen | 28c | 772.34$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.99 | 131 | 35.9%47 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c31…23cbbacked Taylor Fritz | 40c | 766.74$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.02 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Taylor Fritz | 14c | 721.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…b1a9backed Taylor Fritz | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Alex Michelsen | 73c | 711.97$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.05 | 231 | 59.3%137 W · 94 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Taylor Fritz | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…593ebacked Alex Michelsen | 24c | 700$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +7.9wins | +0.33per pick | 25cpaid | +127.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…c74dbacked Taylor Fritz | 72c | 666.67$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 180 | 53.9%97 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Taylor Fritz | 37c | 660.93$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.74 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…9cd6backed Alex Michelsen | 9c | 650$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,020.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…582abacked Alex Michelsen | 28c | 634.83$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.08 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Taylor Fritz | 37c | 615.38$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.69 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Alex Michelsen | 43c | 608.01$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.56 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Taylor Fritz | 30c | 601.28$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Taylor Fritz | 6c | 597$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Taylor Fritz | 28c | 545.82$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.72 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…7d90backed Taylor Fritz | 42c | 523.81$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Alex Michelsen | 49c | 504.99$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.55 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c10…544abacked Alex Michelsen | 2c | 500$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.98per pick | 2cpaid | +4,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…8205backed Alex Michelsen | 26c | 500$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.8 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +7.4wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…6af2backed Taylor Fritz | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 128 | 35.2%45 W · 83 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Taylor Fritz | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Taylor Fritz | 30c | 499.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Taylor Fritz | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Taylor Fritz | 55c | 475.93$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open: Alex Michelsen vs Taylor Fritzthis page
- Alex Michelsen vs. Taylor Fritz: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Michelsen vs. Fritz: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Michelsen vs FritzMichelsen won
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Michelsen (+1.5)Michelsen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.