TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x79dc…b1a9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst UFC at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT3743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Huzhou: Xinxin Yao vs Rada Zolotarevabacked Xinxin Yao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.03
Miami Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$631Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$631
Zadar: Lukas Neumayer vs Sumit Nagalbacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+82.7%+$288.48
Kigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Zdenek Kolarbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+158.4%+$546.51
Hersonissos 2: Paul Jubb vs Maxim Mrvabacked Paul Jubb · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$454.57
Kigali 2: Marco Cecchinato vs Arthur Geabacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$999
Antalya 3: Anhelina Kalinina vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,199.79
Kigali 2: Stefano Napolitano vs Arthur Geabacked Stefano Napolitano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
Antalya 3: Katarzyna Kawa vs Carole Monnetbacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$208.03
BNP Paribas Open: Alex Michelsen vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
BNP Paribas Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
BNP Paribas Open: Diane Parry vs Venus Williamsbacked Venus Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$542Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$542.5
BNP Paribas Open: Francesca Jones vs Kayla Daybacked Kayla Day · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+63.7%+$277.85
Hersonissos: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Pavlos Tsitsipasbacked Pavlos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$71.99
Kigali: Jay Clarke vs Calvin Hemerybacked Jay Clarke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$146.41
Antalya 2: Mayar Sherif vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+87.6%+$349.69
Antalya 2: Despina Papamichail vs Mia Risticbacked Mia Ristic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Antalya 2: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Carole Monnetbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+170.5%+$40.94
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Joanna Garland vs Taylor Townsendbacked Joanna Garland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$350
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Dalma Galfi vs Yue Yuanbacked Yue Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$425
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+343.6%+$1,364.25
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+334.8%+$669.57
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Tristan Schoolkate vs Alex Boltbacked Alex Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$350
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Stefano Travagliabacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.25
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Shintaro Mochizukibacked Federico Agustin Gomez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$154
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-57.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
UFC — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Beneil Dariush · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,405Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,405.12
UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Brando Pericic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$495
UFC Fight Night: Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Tai Tuivasa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$493
UFC Fight Night: Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Josh Emmett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
UFC Fight Night: Gillian Robertson vs. Amanda Lemos (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Amanda Lemos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Andre Fili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
UFC Fight Night: Harry Hardwick vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Harry Hardwick · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
UFC Fight Night: Marlon Vera vs. David Martinez (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Vera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$298
UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$824Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+300%+$2,472
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Bunes vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Bunes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$112
UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Borjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$479
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$530.72
UFC Fight Night: Macy Chiasson vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Chiasson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$500
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nets vs. 76ersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$519
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
76ers vs. Cavaliersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$137
Spread: Clippers (-2.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+122.2%+$305.56
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+189.6%+$164.83
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$360
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$680
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$523.4
Trail Blazers vs. Hornetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$919Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$919.4
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$806Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$805.99
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+177.8%+$2,666.67
Nets vs. Celticsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$239.91
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-81.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$244
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,177.8
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$607Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$606.86
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$327
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$524.77
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$466
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+82%+$157.43
Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$567
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FlyQuest (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$132.93
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$159.11
IU Indy Jaguars vs. Cleveland State Vikingsbacked IU Indy Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$99.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.