NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c6013ca08ffa26cbeb056ac576bd3e99a62cfe892aa3d4aed76dd2a61a43504

Rebuilt 26 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Heatof Rockets, Heat
Resolved: Feb 28, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $90,264
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $93,739

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,264 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xada5…db70backed Rockets	49c	8,852$4,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,300.29	513	54.2%278 W · 235 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dda…5a41backed Heat	56c	6,429$3,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,828.57	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.48per pick	53cpaid	+91.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Heat	54c	6,098$3,293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,804.98	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Rockets	46c	5,045$2,321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,320.65	252	48.4%122 W · 130 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Heat	50c	4,916$2,435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,481.54	122	45.1%55 W · 67 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Heat	73c	3,503$2,559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$944.11	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f63…57b9backed Rockets	47c	3,500$1,645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,645	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.1wins	-0.24per pick	47cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdcb6…8977backed Heat	53c	3,300$1,749 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,551	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x504f…7a26backed Rockets	44c	3,200$1,408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,408	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Rockets	46c	3,058$1,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,420.98	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed Rockets	46c	2,987$1,364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,363.94	169	43.8%74 W · 95 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Rockets	44c	2,890$1,272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,271.66	107	43%46 W · 61 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Heat	52c	2,852$1,483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,369.03	290	55.5%161 W · 129 L	+15.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x287d…26afbacked Rockets	44c	2,800$1,232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,232	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9663…0399backed Rockets	47c	2,499$1,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,174.53	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Heat	62c	2,495$1,541 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$953.81	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Heat	53c	2,466$1,302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,164.09	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Heat	67c	2,441$1,626 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$815.14	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Heat	52c	2,300$1,196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,103.97	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets	44c	2,238$995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$994.77	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6d1…109bbacked Heat	53c	2,200$1,166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,034	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Rockets	49c	2,070$1,014 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,014.11	443	52.4%232 W · 211 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Rockets	44c	2,013$886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$885.7	277	47.7%132 W · 145 L	-20.4wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Heat	50c	1,874$937 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$936.77	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc198…6d2cbacked Heat	55c	1,810$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$809.52	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+34%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Rockets	40c	1,658$662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$662.3	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Heat	52c	1,621$843 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$778.21	1,085	63.6%690 W · 395 L	+86.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets	47c	1,619$764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$764.22	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Heat	53c	1,491$783 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$708	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Heat	53c	1,400$736 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$664	272	46.7%127 W · 145 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Heat	58c	1,364$790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$573.82	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…b1a9backed Rockets	39c	1,331$523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$523.4	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Rockets	45c	1,298$584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$584.1	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Rockets	47c	1,220$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$571.09	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb295…e601backed Heat	54c	1,074$578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$496.29	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rockets	13c	1,070$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.1	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Rockets	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	201	47.8%96 W · 105 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Heat	55c	1,000$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450	136	42.6%58 W · 78 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Heat	53c	936.12$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$436.12	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Rockets	32c	924.19$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.74	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Rockets	47c	882$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.54	265	44.9%119 W · 146 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets	48c	867.92$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415.58	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Heat	51c	857.51$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$417.03	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Rockets	48c	853.13$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.5	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	+4.0wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Rockets	45c	801$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.45	154	50.6%78 W · 76 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Heat	54c	789.64$429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360.61	205	36.6%75 W · 130 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Rockets	36c	718.64$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.02	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Rockets	48c	706.05$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.39	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Rockets	46c	650.19$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Heat	56c	624.48$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275.07	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Heat	53c	600$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282	102	51%52 W · 50 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Heat	51c	598.53$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.28	377	47.5%179 W · 198 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Heat	52c	570$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$273.6	156	50%78 W · 78 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8fe…9f73backed Rockets	47c	565.8$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.13	70	44.3%31 W · 39 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…3ddebacked Rockets	45c	517.78$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.7wins	-0.17per pick	48cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd246…95d8backed Heat	53c	500$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.8wins	+0.26per pick	47cpaid	+60.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xccbd…f1b7backed Rockets	46c	499.63$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.83	46	69.6%32 W · 14 L	+3.7wins	+0.08per pick	62cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa14e…138fbacked Rockets	49c	485$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.65	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62fd…9497backed Heat	51c	476$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.24	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+98%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0073…01fbbacked Rockets	49c	472$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed52…0b24backed Rockets	50c	464$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7558…dee8backed Rockets	50c	458$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda73…3eadbacked Heat	50c	456$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+39.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e5…64b5backed Heat	50c	450$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf70f…7912backed Heat	50c	430$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.31per pick	51cpaid	-60%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x052e…e1e0backed Rockets	44c	428.56$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.57	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b49…557ebacked Heat	51c	420$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.8	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+98%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c53abacked Rockets	49c	418$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.82	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd598…c67cbacked Rockets	48c	414.32$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	90	37.8%34 W · 56 L	-7.0wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rockets	47c	411.63$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.47	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Rockets	49c	408.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	187	49.2%92 W · 95 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Heat	54c	400$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184	666	45.9%306 W · 360 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b0…bdf3backed Heat	51c	392$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.08	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+98%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Heat	54c	389.8$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.31	241	51%123 W · 118 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ef…b443backed Rockets	49c	384$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.16	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x641f…373cbacked Heat	51c	375$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.75	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+98%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45b2…d260backed Heat	51c	372.87$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.71	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+98%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81b6…a445backed Heat	50c	370$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Heat	52c	365.47$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.51	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc91d…d775backed Rockets	50c	362$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Heat	56c	358.93$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.93	167	43.7%73 W · 94 L	-16.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x39ad…c945backed Rockets	50c	358.4$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.2	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6561…5a85backed Rockets	50c	336$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1344…28eebacked Rockets	50c	330$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1958…0838backed Heat	51c	326$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.74	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+45.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2419…ad57backed Heat	50c	318$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca4e…74dcbacked Rockets	49c	314$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36e8…c805backed Rockets	49c	306$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.94	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fca…5719backed Heat	50c	304$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Rockets	47c	290.47$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.09	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Rockets	13c	283.37$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.84	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Heat	56c	267.86$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.86	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ac8…9e67backed Heat	56c	260$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.4	185	43.2%80 W · 105 L	-7.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Heat	56c	242.86$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.86	195	48.7%95 W · 100 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Rockets	46c	237$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.02	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb451…37f3backed Heat	57c	233.66$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.47	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-2.0wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-20%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd571…9f0abacked Rockets	48c	220.83$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Rockets	48c	210.42$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	213	55.9%119 W · 94 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Rockets	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	92	45.7%42 W · 50 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Rockets	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	451	46.1%208 W · 243 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Rockets (-3.5)this page
1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Heat won
1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Heat won
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5No won
Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 15.5No won
Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 14.5No won
Rockets vs. HeatHeat won
Rockets vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineRockets won
Rockets vs. Heat: O/U 219.5Over won
Rockets vs. Heat: O/U 223.5Under won
Rockets vs. Heat: O/U 224.5Under won
Rockets vs. Heat: O/U 225.5Under won
Rockets vs. Heat: O/U 226.5Under won
Spread: Heat (-3.5)Heat won
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Heat won
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Heat won
Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 20.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Rockets (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event