NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Heat: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fab08cb092ffcb3ceba80a1a482c1697e05b438458b1ba025018aea2cdf9cea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc408…c1efbacked Under | 48c | 20,690$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,690.1 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Over | 52c | 10,565$5,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,447.9 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0313…e9eabacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaf…13dcbacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 47c | 6,369$2,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375.79 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 53c | 6,006$3,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,183.05 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Over | 54c | 4,074$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 54c | 4,073$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.81 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Over | 54c | 3,269$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.07 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 54c | 2,947$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.55 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd501…b86ebacked Under | 49c | 2,640$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.09 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 2,442$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.72 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd246…95d8backed Under | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 49c | 2,112$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.05 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Under | 49c | 2,053$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.45 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked Under | 51c | 1,973$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.82 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd248…0ceebacked Over | 50c | 1,640$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Under | 51c | 1,500$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.11 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 1,479$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.12 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 30c | 1,439$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.66 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 42c | 1,278$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.94 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 52c | 1,208$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.29 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 1,150$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.32 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…f999backed Over | 51c | 1,108$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.08 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 43c | 1,083$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.55 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…184dbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3202…6a46backed Over | 57c | 950.5$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 52c | 950$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 62c | 852.32$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.71 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 45c | 746.17$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.35 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Over | 44c | 730.07$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.23 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…260bbacked Over | 51c | 682$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 38c | 672.95$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.72 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Under | 54c | 648$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.08 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 647.15$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.23 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…1c24backed Under | 50c | 642$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 42c | 632.19$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.58 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45ad…1431backed Under | 50c | 628$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…26c6backed Under | 49c | 628$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 616.87$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.41 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc01…61b7backed Over | 50c | 616$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9536…52dcbacked Over | 50c | 612$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e25…137abacked Over | 50c | 612$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835f…451bbacked Under | 50c | 604$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f8…fe4dbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2130…ad9ebacked Over | 50c | 586$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 53c | 569.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…6d3cbacked Over | 50c | 566$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 558.26$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.39 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb02…93c2backed Over | 51c | 558$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…1fb4backed Under | 50c | 556$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda87…2675backed Under | 50c | 554$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 44c | 550.48$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.13 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d16…d2cdbacked Over | 50c | 526$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9f…91acbacked Under | 50c | 526$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec5…a105backed Under | 50c | 521$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36fb…f046backed Under | 49c | 520$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd204…6fd9backed Over | 50c | 518$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3da…d38bbacked Under | 50c | 508$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293e…db44backed Under | 50c | 508$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 50c | 500.06$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.06 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x648e…a965backed Under | 50c | 492$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…d497backed Under | 50c | 490$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f52…6112backed Over | 50c | 489$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6751…fb4ebacked Over | 50c | 488$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…bd22backed Under | 50c | 487$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6785…2e0ebacked Under | 50c | 485$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…b2fdbacked Under | 50c | 484$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3edf…3304backed Under | 50c | 480$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…2c49backed Under | 50c | 477$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf096…9a08backed Over | 50c | 477$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c7…bb17backed Over | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Over | 53c | 471.21$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.74 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…0bdbbacked Over | 50c | 471$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…96d4backed Over | 50c | 467$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08af…1774backed Over | 50c | 465$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdc…964fbacked Under | 50c | 459$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0745…1ce9backed Under | 50c | 454$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffce…7ebabacked Under | 50c | 450$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ece…6567backed Under | 50c | 449$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4955…5aa5backed Under | 50c | 446$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298d…610ebacked Under | 50c | 441$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c0…9aabbacked Over | 50c | 440$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd45e…1e76backed Over | 50c | 440$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…24eebacked Over | 50c | 438$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc980…5f6ebacked Over | 50c | 437$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe798…d58dbacked Over | 50c | 436$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd1…a538backed Over | 50c | 435$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e4…1214backed Over | 50c | 434$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8922…12e9backed Over | 50c | 434$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1886…f032backed Under | 50c | 432$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Under | 50c | 427.27$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.64 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7c…7774backed Under | 50c | 426$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…aabcbacked Over | 50c | 421$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…fdc5backed Over | 50c | 418$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda1f…4e08backed Under | 50c | 418$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 51c | 412.4$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.26 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5f…937fbacked Over | 50c | 412$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Heat: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Heat won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Heat won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Rockets vs. HeatHeat won
- Rockets vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Heat: O/U 219.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Heat: O/U 223.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Heat: O/U 224.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Heat: O/U 226.5Under won
- Spread: Heat (-3.5)Heat won
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Heat won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Heat won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Heat won
- Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 20.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.