NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c747fa5de32f2bf7ffc1a7c630887484893e52ee278601c0552c57d3c1725fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Rockets, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Heat | 51c | 38,400$19,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,975.87 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets | 49c | 31,865$15,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,561.94 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Rockets | 48c | 30,293$14,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,540.59 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Heat | 51c | 20,492$10,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,041.14 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Heat | 52c | 19,231$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,230.77 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1716…d2b5backed Heat | 52c | 14,571$7,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,994.28 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Rockets | 50c | 11,079$5,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,539.55 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Rockets | 48c | 8,294$3,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,981.13 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Heat | 52c | 6,413$3,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,078.24 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Rockets | 49c | 5,800$2,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,842 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b3…911fbacked Heat | 51c | 5,195$2,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.39 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rockets | 48c | 5,176$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484.68 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Rockets | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rockets | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Heat | 52c | 4,780$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.29 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Heat | 51c | 4,311$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.87 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Heat | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Rockets | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Rockets | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.99 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Rockets | 49c | 2,201$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.39 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 51c | 2,197$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.2 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Rockets | 48c | 2,196$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.53 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Rockets | 48c | 2,046$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.24 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Heat | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…74e9backed Rockets | 50c | 1,999$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.51 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Rockets | 49c | 1,824$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Rockets | 48c | 1,769$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.12 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…a1c5backed Heat | 52c | 1,686$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.83 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Heat | 52c | 1,563$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.46 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Heat | 53c | 1,278$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.8 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…664abacked Rockets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Rockets | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked Heat | 51c | 983.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Heat | 52c | 959.08$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.35 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Rockets | 50c | 915.3$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.65 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Heat | 52c | 876.72$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.92 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Rockets | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Heat | 51c | 799.95$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.97 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Rockets | 49c | 768$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.32 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Rockets | 49c | 653.26$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.1 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Heat | 5c | 639.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.32 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x1e58…dba7backed Rockets | 34c | 637$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.65 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Heat | 52c | 625$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets | 48c | 615$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.2 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rockets | 47c | 606.9$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.24 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…bfc2backed Rockets | 49c | 602.02$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.99 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Rockets | 48c | 600.04$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.77 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Heat | 52c | 587$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.76 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Heat | 33c | 544.15$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.03 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Heat | 49c | 515.22$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.76 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Rockets | 50c | 481$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.5 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Rockets | 50c | 438.52$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.26 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Heat | 50c | 408.8$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.4 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c4…f4cbbacked Heat | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…ebf6backed Rockets | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1779…eef2backed Rockets | 56c | 397.29$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Heat | 51c | 333.33$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.33 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1452…3c00backed Rockets | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Heat | 51c | 306.38$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.13 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Heat | 52c | 301.92$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.92 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Rockets | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…427bbacked Rockets | 50c | 298.88$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.76 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Rockets | 49c | 294.79$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.27 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockets | 49c | 292.96$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.6 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03fa…02bbbacked Rockets | 50c | 291$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Rockets | 49c | 253.71$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.39 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…4638backed Rockets | 50c | 252.3$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.64 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Heat | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x471a…6bf0backed Rockets | 52c | 241.6$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.65 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Heat | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…a0f2backed Rockets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…a68bbacked Rockets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Rockets | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Heat | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Heat | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…444ebacked Rockets | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Heat | 52c | 193$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Heat | 53c | 182.1$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Rockets | 50c | 151.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.28 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Rockets | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Rockets | 50c | 146.94$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Rockets | 50c | 145.86$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 221 | 48%106 W · 115 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Rockets | 49c | 143.92$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…4090backed Rockets | 50c | 141.72$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Rockets | 49c | 140.82$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5542…01cebacked Rockets | 49c | 130.49$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Heat | 52c | 125.78$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Heat | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Heat | 49c | 108$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d26…0635backed Rockets | 51c | 101.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d2…22fbbacked Rockets | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Heat | 51c | 99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Heat | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Rockets | 50c | 96.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Heat | 51c | 93.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9acd…602dbacked Rockets | 49c | 89.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…1477backed Heat | 52c | 80.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Heat | 50c | 80.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a32…2fcdbacked Heat | 52c | 72.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Rockets | 50c | 71.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Heat won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Heat won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Rockets vs. HeatHeat won
- Rockets vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Heat: O/U 219.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Heat: O/U 223.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Heat: O/U 224.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Heat: O/U 225.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Heat: O/U 226.5Under won
- Spread: Heat (-3.5)Heat won
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Heat won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Heat won
- Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 20.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.