NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5c68888bcad6ade4eb7e75c2867140efb586b8544ab2c7a92ae9a613facb0da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Rockets, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,530,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,848,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,530,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,381 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Heat | 44c | 329,529$144,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185,009.69 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Rockets | 56c | 299,999$168,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167,999.56 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbf…53bebacked Heat | 44c | 156,231$68,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,489.39 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Heat | 43c | 132,664$57,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,648.78 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Rockets | 56c | 121,309$67,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,933.16 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Rockets | 56c | 120,000$67,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,200 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Heat | 44c | 100,000$44,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,000.19 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Heat | 44c | 87,108$38,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,780.31 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed Rockets | 57c | 79,000$45,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,019.15 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Rockets | 60c | 75,000$45,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,999.96 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Rockets | 54c | 74,079$39,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,799.74 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Rockets | 56c | 70,000$39,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,200 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Rockets | 60c | 54,814$32,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,701.98 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Rockets | 58c | 50,771$29,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,658.88 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Rockets | 57c | 50,403$28,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,537.06 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Rockets | 51c | 40,728$20,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,717.93 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Rockets | 28c | 36,164$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Rockets | 56c | 35,714$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…099dbacked Rockets | 57c | 35,000$19,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,950 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Heat | 56c | 32,137$17,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,223.1 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rockets | 58c | 31,362$18,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,089.21 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Heat | 66c | 30,529$20,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,267.48 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…8254backed Rockets | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,700 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Rockets | 54c | 29,676$15,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,896.68 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Heat | 50c | 29,270$14,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,546.66 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heat | 56c | 28,508$16,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,505.78 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Heat | 42c | 25,492$10,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,785.45 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Rockets | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Heat | 43c | 25,000$10,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,250 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Rockets | 61c | 24,564$14,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,983.94 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Heat | 44c | 23,000$10,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,880 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Heat | 50c | 21,862$10,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,037.47 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Heat | 40c | 21,698$8,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,947.83 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Heat | 44c | 21,534$9,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,059.31 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f12…435cbacked Heat | 45c | 20,000$8,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,001.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9065…5c03backed Rockets | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Rockets | 71c | 19,500$13,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,889.25 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe021…e299backed Heat | 43c | 19,300$8,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,001 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…2541backed Rockets | 57c | 19,300$11,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000.97 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Rockets | 56c | 18,000$10,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,080 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Rockets | 57c | 17,000$9,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,689.99 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Rockets | 58c | 16,403$9,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,531.25 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Heat | 40c | 16,011$6,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,606.54 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Heat | 42c | 15,731$6,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,191.1 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Heat | 41c | 15,000$6,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,849.97 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heat | 51c | 12,616$6,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,192.79 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Rockets | 56c | 12,500$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Heat | 41c | 12,500$5,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,375 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Heat | 37c | 12,087$4,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,643.65 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…cd97backed Heat | 43c | 11,600$4,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,621.99 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…bc7cbacked Rockets | 57c | 11,600$6,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,621.97 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Heat | 42c | 11,400$4,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,577.9 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Heat | 51c | 11,172$5,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,502.93 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Heat | 54c | 11,085$6,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,058.15 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Rockets | 57c | 10,916$6,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,175.53 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rockets | 53c | 10,706$5,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,644.71 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Rockets | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.96 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 55c | 9,013$4,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,956.88 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Rockets | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Rockets | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…cd02backed Rockets | 36c | 8,700$3,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,155 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Heat | 46c | 8,644$3,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,647.81 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Heat | 44c | 8,436$3,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,697.49 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…5baebacked Rockets | 48c | 8,348$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Rockets | 55c | 8,337$4,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,557.09 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heat | 58c | 8,177$4,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,456.44 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…85b5backed Rockets | 44c | 8,143$3,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,544.82 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Heat | 44c | 8,000$3,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,516.37 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Heat | 44c | 8,000$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,480 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Heat | 41c | 8,000$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,720 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…9198backed Rockets | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,560 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Heat | 42c | 8,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,639.98 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Rockets | 49c | 7,708$3,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,803.94 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Rockets | 60c | 7,547$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Heat | 42c | 7,440$3,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,327.64 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Heat | 45c | 7,409$3,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,074.89 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Heat | 42c | 7,235$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,196.5 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Rockets | 50c | 7,222$3,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.37 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Rockets | 51c | 7,110$3,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,630.34 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Rockets | 55c | 7,109$3,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,909.72 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6319…4fd7backed Rockets | 57c | 7,052$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Heat | 45c | 7,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Heat | 50c | 7,000$3,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,469.99 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Heat | 42c | 6,938$2,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,053.08 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Rockets | 53c | 6,937$3,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,657.5 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Heat | 43c | 6,926$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,926.4 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Rockets | 48c | 6,795$3,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,269.82 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc44…e036backed Rockets | 53c | 6,776$3,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,624.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…e546backed Heat | 44c | 6,623$2,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,708.88 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Heat | 43c | 6,586$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,746.36 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Rockets | 65c | 6,554$4,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,260.1 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1eda…9c47backed Heat | 42c | 6,533$2,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,789.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Rockets | 56c | 6,500$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…5119backed Heat | 62c | 6,494$4,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.77 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc918…f848backed Rockets | 71c | 6,332$4,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,465 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Rockets | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…fd6bbacked Rockets | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Rockets | 51c | 5,950$3,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,034.49 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da0…555ebacked Rockets | 59c | 5,850$3,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,451.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…b299backed Rockets | 56c | 5,661$3,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,170 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Heatthis page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Heat won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Heat won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Rockets vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Heat: O/U 219.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Heat: O/U 223.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Heat: O/U 224.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Heat: O/U 225.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Heat: O/U 226.5Under won
- Spread: Heat (-3.5)Heat won
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Heat won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Heat won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Heat won
- Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 20.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.