TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x03fa…02bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST7838.5%30 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Clippers (-8.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$145.5
Pelicans vs. Clippersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$145.5
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$78.35
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$145.5
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$145.5
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$42.23
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+185.7%+$371.43
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+100%+$200
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Hornets (-12.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spurs vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+208.6%+$625.76
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$228.15
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+58.7%+$88.1
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+177.8%+$355.56
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1275%9 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$122.73
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$50
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+40.8%+$61.27
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$61.27
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$100
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.25
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.73
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+43.7%+$109.29
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+112.8%+$90.21
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$80
All 12 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+257.1%+$205.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.