TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$214,968
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$216,071

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,968 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Nets53c96,053$50,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,611.7587144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs47c63,893$30,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,863.291,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Spurs47c31,437$14,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,661.6229650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Spurs60c20,000$11,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,036.6720758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Spurs47c16,085$7,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,525.052,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nets40c14,846$5,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,938.414,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Nets53c14,500$7,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,664.991,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Nets53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,30035450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Spurs46c8,898$4,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,804.772,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf52b…905bbacked Nets54c8,889$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8001145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Spurs47c5,882$2,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,117.651,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Spurs48c5,056$2,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,650.531,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Nets53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,12079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Nets53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,119.9943348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Nets55c3,889$2,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,152.7737747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs47c3,752$1,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.894,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Nets54c2,878$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55441649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nets43c2,592$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.273,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs47c2,458$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.54,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Spurs45c2,421$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.3324942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Nets54c2,047$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.4829351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs50c1,897$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.154,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3280…ea74backed Nets55c1,822$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009531.6%30 W · 65 L-11.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Nets53c1,700$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90164651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Nets53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79545647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Spurs49c1,473$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.5151354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Spurs56c1,414$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.4510131.7%32 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Spurs48c1,345$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.9380653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Nets53c1,200$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6312445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Nets53c1,161$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.331,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Spurs55c1,100$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49420651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Spurs48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52021139.8%84 W · 127 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Spurs52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked Nets53c996.98$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.395038%19 W · 31 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Spurs53c849.99$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39632347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Spurs46c829.63$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44854443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Spurs47c815$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.9529347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Spurs45c800$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Nets30c790.32$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.3540243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Spurs48c730.96$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.112547.2%59 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Nets53c661$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.3331354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Spurs47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.352951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Spurs48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3258751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets53c622.83$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.453,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Spurs49c611.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.6265339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Nets53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31849345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00f5…7b42backed Spurs47c595.74$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.743043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs48c582.24$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.198,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Spurs66c511.02$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.4313154.2%71 W · 60 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Spurs46c499.98$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.9935444.6%158 W · 196 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Nets46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20034854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Spurs48c420$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.531,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb358…e547backed Spurs49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2042755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03fa…02bbbacked Nets54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007838.5%30 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b84…a239backed Nets54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Spurs55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.641,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Spurs70c359.21$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.7610546.7%49 W · 56 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66c4…2852backed Spurs72c348.32$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.3211358.4%66 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Nets53c300.01$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15989050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Spurs45c292.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.713,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Nets47c286.52$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.951146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e51…9531backed Spurs48c284.04$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.736751.5%189 W · 178 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Spurs59c249.98$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.593,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Spurs47c240.4$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.411,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Nets19c231.26$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.811,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Spurs53c220.75$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7582440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Nets46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011943.7%52 W · 67 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Nets44c215.87$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9491846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Nets48c206.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9838350.4%193 W · 190 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Nets29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.362,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Spurs47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10622453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Spurs47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10691148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa0…be2dbacked Nets51c196.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009445.7%43 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Nets52c182.27$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7887453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Nets50c179.28$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.011,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Spurs56c178.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7772250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Spurs46c175$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.536643.2%158 W · 208 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0b5…e373backed Spurs55c174.55$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5512359.3%73 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Nets38c169.73$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.353,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Nets54c165.13$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.362,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2442…0c2bbacked Spurs47c159.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.57616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-64.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Nets53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.564139%250 W · 391 L+2.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Nets54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8149351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f51…7b9ebacked Spurs48c145.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8310835.2%38 W · 70 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Nets53c143.75$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4936045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3cc…c029backed Nets54c142.58$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3816250%81 W · 81 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05c4…a4f2backed Nets43c134.56$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8612045%54 W · 66 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs45c126.45$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.556,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd72…7018backed Nets48c119.08$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.61827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick33cpaid+68.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Nets50c113.12$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5619435.1%68 W · 126 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Spurs45c111$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0562541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Spurs46c104.16$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.82,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e6e…919bbacked Nets49c101.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-38.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Nets48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4837750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Spurs49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5189853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Spurs47c99.2$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5876552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Nets51c98.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5054549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Spurs55c95$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.156058.3%35 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb227…8809backed Nets54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011157.7%64 W · 47 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43f9…2c69backed Nets54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.