NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Nets: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94ad74d6fe56afb2e5a23f37b43ba3569f266058edac600097ca4374ef0630bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 48c | 2,083$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.62 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 1,138$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.4 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 52c | 1,115$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.76 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 50c | 999.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 727.09$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.79 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 54c | 648$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.51 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Over | 48c | 494.84$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.32 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 435.83$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.49 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Over | 49c | 406.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.28 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 258.79$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.7 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 216.04$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 53c | 198$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.94 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 164$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 135.17$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.01 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 55c | 118.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.41 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 36c | 104.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 52c | 100.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Under | 51c | 72.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 49c | 58.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 36c | 51.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 47.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…aea9backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 47c | 26.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 193 | 52.8%102 W · 91 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 55c | 22.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Nets: O/U 225.5this page
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Nicolas Claxton: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Nicolas Claxton: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Noah Clowney: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. NetsSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Nets: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Nets: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Nets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.