TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,702
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,639

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,702 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8753…85adbacked Nets59c3,863$2,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,262.0164651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Nets52c3,097$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.3141652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs48c2,778$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.729,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Spurs41c2,283$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.9719645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nets55c1,686$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.994,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Nets55c1,457$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8009556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e9…4044backed Nets57c1,406$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.159053.3%48 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Nets40c1,200$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.9928929.4%85 W · 204 L-13.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs46c1,094$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.324,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Nets55c1,090$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.758347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Spurs42c861.9$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.93652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Nets48c775.4$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.822,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Nets46c652.01$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.326839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Spurs47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.31,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Spurs48c581.68$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.350653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Spurs47c534.57$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.3271449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Spurs43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2851,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c16…0272backed Spurs40c499.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.9918233%60 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Spurs48c499.97$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.3289050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Spurs50c433.36$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.4713536.3%49 W · 86 L-0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Spurs73c394.67$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.013,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc74d…8acabacked Spurs47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.1514344.1%63 W · 80 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Nets54c310.64$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.7551146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Nets20c304.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9544821.4%96 W · 352 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Nets56c300$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.7891148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Nets51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15025452.8%134 W · 120 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Spurs41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.917035.9%61 W · 109 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs75c188.11$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.541,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Spurs54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1961957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Nets54c172.16$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9787144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x451f…7301backed Nets54c170$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.57853.8%42 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dc1…36bbbacked Nets59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007848.7%38 W · 40 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Spurs42c162$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.851354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Nets56c158.12$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8238350.4%193 W · 190 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Spurs48c154.6$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.393,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Spurs49c153.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.069555.8%53 W · 42 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Spurs65c150$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.52,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ee2…e71dbacked Nets58c146.53$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.351656.3%9 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Spurs80c140$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Nets55c133.74$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3519435.1%68 W · 126 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Spurs41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.952,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Spurs41c113.37$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8976552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Nets60c99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.41,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Spurs46c98.21$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.842,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Spurs44c94.95$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.633,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a50…09f4backed Nets54c92.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaec…eaafbacked Spurs45c89.78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7829348.5%142 W · 151 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Nets50c86.17$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.663,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Nets55c82.92$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0188057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs50c79.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.154,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa0…be2dbacked Nets57c78.62$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.819445.7%43 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs48c74.85$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.144,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Nets23c71.39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3412227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Spurs41c69.2$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8335843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nets36c68.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.73,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Spurs50c64.7$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.463,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Spurs47c64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.921,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Spurs49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.221,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb10…1584backed Nets60c58.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-32.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Spurs47c57.28$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3845653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd72…7018backed Nets56c51.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.81827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick33cpaid+68.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Spurs67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.510131.7%32 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead8…ce1abacked Spurs41c46.85$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.646141%25 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8fa…d338backed Nets54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255044%22 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Spurs51c45.44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.371,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Nets54c45.09$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4596956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Spurs47c44.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.841,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f53…d57bbacked Spurs46c43.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.276735.8%24 W · 43 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Spurs41c40.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.182449.4%23 W · 221 L-27.5wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-72.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1ec1…dd29backed Spurs49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8222556.9%128 W · 97 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x074e…317fbacked Nets54c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.416553.9%89 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Spurs47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.214858.1%86 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Spurs47c36.8$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3217844.4%79 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Spurs69c35.07$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.940243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4001…3fb3backed Nets60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202035%7 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf82…b3acbacked Spurs80c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.25540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Nets52c27.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4562744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff26…de84backed Spurs41c26.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.831957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked Spurs41c25.86$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2612331.7%39 W · 84 L-17.0wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-39.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x74fe…8243backed Spurs49c24.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.494847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00f4…5c3fbacked Spurs49c22.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.45650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd766…5eb1backed Nets56c22.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.465431.5%17 W · 37 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-30.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6fad…374cbacked Nets56c22.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4618644.1%82 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a19…69afbacked Spurs50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105446.3%25 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+59.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfffb…5f95backed Spurs50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1024150.2%121 W · 120 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Spurs72c14.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0665542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.