TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Nets: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$453,457
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$460,654

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $453,457 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Under50c109,805$54,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,902.732653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over50c75,951$37,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,979.5787451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under50c73,176$36,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,587.9624650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Over50c66,103$33,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,100.8426253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over50c52,988$26,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,529.481,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under51c52,369$26,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,683.7643542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Under50c30,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00035450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under52c19,224$9,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,996.5416547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over50c10,093$5,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,087.6222648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Over50c10,000$5,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,95018547%87 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under50c9,255$4,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,597.1251844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over51c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,919.9932846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked Over51c6,753$3,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,305.795038%19 W · 31 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over50c6,500$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,25048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x221d…e800backed Over51c6,236$3,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,061.661464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c6,006$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,005.721,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under50c5,887$2,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,933.921,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over50c5,842$2,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,932.2851354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Over52c5,744$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,743.6820849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1716…d2b5backed Over50c4,480$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2401384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.1wins+0.32per pick53cpaid+60.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe584…e6e2backed Over52c4,268$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,068.093250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.9979549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c3,985$1,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,981.894,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under49c3,618$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,772.6624744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c3,532$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.933,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c3,397$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,711.864,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb7f…fe42backed Over50c3,360$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under51c3,327$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.941,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under49c3,126$1,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,531.937747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c2,884$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.889,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaff1…49cebacked Over49c2,512$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.243956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Under51c2,440$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.2445850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under50c2,400$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.9980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c2,380$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.824,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb427…08a9backed Under55c2,200$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad40…a697backed Over52c2,086$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.714454.5%24 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over45c2,066$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.142,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00032347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under15c1,838$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.751,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c1,796$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.542,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Over50c1,650$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.0113563%85 W · 50 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under51c1,545$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79550754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under49c1,478$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.0148546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under50c1,457$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.232,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4fd…0095backed Over50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6005369.8%37 W · 16 L+7.9wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+29%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under36c1,162$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.9726839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Over49c1,024$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.1834855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.2146258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over49c1,000$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.223,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Under51c999.99$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51026149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under50c894.01$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.951,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under48c885.98$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.2754443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41667252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Under50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Over53c760$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.28943.8%39 W · 50 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30049345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under45c589.1$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.33,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over52c580.75$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.7633146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3269…d6cfbacked Over50c496$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Under51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507440.5%30 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under49c485.71$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23841649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x539a…3598backed Under50c483$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aa3…6d59backed Under50c472$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23650%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbc8c…d58cbacked Over53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.78043.8%35 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e6…47d0backed Under50c418$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Over53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18828245.4%128 W · 154 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18845146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ea9…c3f8backed Over50c398.13$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.072100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Over50c396.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.5624946.6%116 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe4b…4b29backed Over50c381$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over49c374$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.741,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3210…458ebacked Over50c370$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c364$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.726,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x085c…75e4backed Over50c346$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1732100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68ae…de4abacked Under50c330$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Over51c322.99$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.279455.3%52 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…97b5backed Under50c313$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff3f…96fcbacked Over50c309$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Over51c304.1$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.0117348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.2791148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4632952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Over72c273.87$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6410131.7%32 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under51c256.73$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.781,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Under19c253.22$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3965542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over57c244.58$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.628,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under38c241.96$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8440243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under46c238.23$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.373,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under51c234.41$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.5587453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under48c219.07$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1560351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3328046.8%131 W · 149 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf09…f56fbacked Under51c205$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc278…78adbacked Under51c205$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc361…3423backed Over50c205$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.