TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x664b…00b3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
490
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 59 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT18551.9%96 W · 89 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 185 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
Sharks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.42
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.7
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$24.59
Jets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$20.23
Canadiens vs. Flyersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.16
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+135.8%+$63.72
Blues vs. Blackhawksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$31.43
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$67.91
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.06
Sharks vs. Ducksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.66
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$14.44
Jets vs. Blues: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.24
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$54.11
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.04
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$28.46
Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+107.6%+$55.54
Red Wings vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$21.26
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.75
Islanders vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$111.27
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+213.9%+$26.54
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.55
Jets vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.22
Stars vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.64
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+53%+$43.18
Showing 25 of 185 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST11159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 111 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USC Trojans vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 158.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$106.25
Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 129.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$133.56
Spread: South Florida Bulls (-6.5)backed South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+121.5%+$79.34
Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$376.95
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$132.69
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Long Beach State Beach: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$88.91
Weber State Wildcats vs. Montana State Bobcats: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$213.51
Weber State Wildcats vs. Montana State Bobcats: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$210.71
Boston College Eagles vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$89.32
Houston Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$201.59
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Marist Red Foxes: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$39.63
Spread: Wright State Raiders (-2.5)backed Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$185.63
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$65.65
Spread: Towson Tigers (-7.5)backed North Carolina A&T Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100.7%+$249.13
Towson Tigers vs. North Carolina A&T Aggies: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$156.26
Spread: Charleston Cougars (-3.5)backed Charleston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+101.3%+$95.62
Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+94.6%+$178.23
Maryland Terrapins vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$155.65
Maryland Terrapins vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$38.68
Utah State Aggies vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked Colorado State Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$70.09
Furman Paladins vs. UNCG Spartansbacked UNCG Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$124.34
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+88.7%+$36.79
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+100%+$72.62
Spread: Appalachian State Mountaineers (-15.5)backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$17.67
Monmouth Hawks vs. Hampton Pirates: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+104.1%+$201.42
Showing 25 of 111 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT9455.3%52 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.74
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.21
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.82
Spread: Heat (-8.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$36.87
Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.12
Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.69
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.43
Spurs vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+106.6%+$13.12
Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 246.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.56
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$44.6
Spread: Clippers (-9.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$43.25
Knicks vs. Hornets: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.83
Kings vs. Magic: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.59
Kings vs. Magic: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.61
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.17
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.66
Nets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.06
Nets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.12
Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.86
Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.97
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$73.5
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.39
Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.53
Spread: Thunder (-21.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$74.22
Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+106.8%+$45.12
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$24.53
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+33.3%+$83.05
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46.6%+$24.68
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+107%+$138.14
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+45.9%+$77.72
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+95.1%+$286.02
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$70.11
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$33.17
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$431.55
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20.47
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,365.16
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+29.3%+$103.98
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$29.3
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+53.8%+$6.95
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$80.86
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$86.24
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25.9
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.53
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$56.68
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+114.7%+$16.35
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25.23
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+228.1%+$45.61
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Will Israel strike 1 country in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+185.7%+$37.14
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$13.68
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+60.6%+$21.92
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+83.1%+$18.74
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+49.9%+$13.47
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$141.81
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$51.9
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+26.4%+$6.13
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$40.67
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.43
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+29.5%+$7.03
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+40.9%+$28.71
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-63.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+60.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+100.9%+$24.29
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.9%+$34.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$31.78
Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+95.3%+$35.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$383.38
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$207.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+156.4%+$411.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+67.8%+$18.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-01-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+58.8%+$118.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group B - Finland vs. Swedenbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+29.9%+$10.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Ring - High Stakes: Ryan Garcia vs. Mario Barriosbacked Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$45.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.