TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Blues: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$426,585
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$427,024

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $426,585 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c349,895$166,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183,279.7451550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over52c188,010$97,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97,744.640351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Over53c128,161$67,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,924.191,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Over52c55,066$28,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,759.667051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c20,679$9,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,955.932,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over53c18,793$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00033450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c14,110$6,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,414.0359450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under47c5,936$2,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,166.092,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c4,114$1,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,207.282,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over53c3,799$2,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,013.6512838.3%49 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over50c3,333$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.527547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over53c2,366$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2507557.3%43 W · 32 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under47c2,318$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.652,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over53c2,310$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.0440356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Under50c2,111$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.57038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over53c1,869$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019150.8%97 W · 94 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.9827048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under49c1,460$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.9220756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c1,415$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.72,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c1,400$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74376950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under47c1,043$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.7983149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50042847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under49c999.98$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9962346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over50c962.03$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.0241842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under47c959.98$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.799038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015051.3%77 W · 73 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under43c912$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.751,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c4b…8616backed Under48c876.27$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.517343.4%75 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Under48c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.337648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c597.03$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.243,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27032648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26558352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2708752.9%46 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under49c485$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.6727659.4%164 W · 112 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf10…691bbacked Over20c468.65$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9224749%121 W · 126 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.674443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe226…95a5backed Over52c384.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.995646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c380.35$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.282353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f0e…b7bcbacked Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013461.9%83 W · 51 L+11.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over58c350.41$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.881,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Under49c332.98$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.823754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Over49c331.65$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.5125446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Over54c324$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.969849%48 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15920552.2%107 W · 98 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18327150.2%136 W · 135 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Under56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1321428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-44.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under47c297$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.4112548.8%61 W · 64 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Over53c288.57$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15433154.1%179 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under49c287.97$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.971,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under45c284.11$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.2616546.7%77 W · 88 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9744…cab4backed Over54c279.52$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Over53c276.82$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14832155.5%178 W · 143 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under48c239.67$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.6917456.3%98 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under49c230.5$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.5534752.4%182 W · 165 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x666a…b5e5backed Over51c219.57$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.981553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b29…f616backed Under50c217.36$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.682339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under47c214.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.8610049%49 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over55c202.48$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3628549.1%140 W · 145 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Over55c199.72$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.3448157.2%275 W · 206 L+21.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under51c195.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6166552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over53c188.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019153.4%102 W · 89 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Under50c174.14$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.414557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Over52c171.15$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Over53c169.81$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9038551.4%198 W · 187 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under29c167.22$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.9138551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under47c164.28$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.8447753.9%257 W · 220 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under47c160$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.1286049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b4a…3647backed Over52c158.5$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.423444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Under51c156.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.865455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Over52c145.13$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9820857.7%120 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Over49c144.86$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.986758.2%39 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Over53c142.5$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7616250%81 W · 81 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf44f…9897backed Over54c141.41$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.366947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Over53c140.55$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7529052.4%152 W · 138 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee75…f59abacked Over54c137.65$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.337156.3%40 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Over53c135.18$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7229053.4%155 W · 135 L+1.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under47c131.91$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.916550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Over54c125.78$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9249053.7%263 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00a7…22a7backed Over54c125.78$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.928659.3%51 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe90…5ce2backed Over53c125.74$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6411248.2%54 W · 58 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33fc…dc88backed Under34c123.64$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.66544.6%29 W · 36 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over43c117.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507451.4%38 W · 36 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under45c101.47$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6760449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under46c100.55$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.958349.4%41 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd0b…4857backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5121846.8%102 W · 116 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5010657.5%61 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe49…7a4cbacked Over52c99.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036652.7%193 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507454.1%40 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x749b…47b3backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016054.4%87 W · 73 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016454.9%90 W · 74 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed Over52c93.87$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8112947.3%61 W · 68 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over53c93.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014052.1%73 W · 67 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028550.2%143 W · 142 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e13…c506backed Over53c89.3$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.333756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under41c86.61$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3333647.9%161 W · 175 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over54c84.7$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4313449.3%66 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over52c79.22$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1933363.7%212 W · 121 L+44.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over60c76.23$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0120855.8%116 W · 92 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.