NHL · resolved market
Jets vs. Blues: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8bf6101ff8b2bc525467e7ca27f1925672a46aca0cd4e012c87638976f04347
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 58c | 3,795$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.88 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 59c | 2,608$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.11 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 41c | 1,188$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.01 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.11 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -13.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 42c | 289.88$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.75 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 42c | 289.88$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.75 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 42c | 289.88$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.75 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 42c | 289.88$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.75 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 42c | 289.88$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.75 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 42c | 289.88$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.75 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 42c | 289.88$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.75 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Under | 59c | 234$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.93 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Under | 62c | 193.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Under | 59c | 140$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 42c | 125$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 124.79$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.61 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Over | 49c | 123.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 59c | 94.96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 59c | 84.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2913…d241backed Over | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…129dbacked Over | 51c | 70.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 40c | 69.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141d…7ea0backed Over | 41c | 65.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…6d3fbacked Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 45c | 54.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 59c | 54.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cac…988ebacked Under | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 59c | 37.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Over | 37c | 36.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 51c | 33.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…114cbacked Over | 46c | 31.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 31.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 34c | 30.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe97f…9337backed Over | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 58c | 26.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Over | 60c | 17.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jets vs. Blues: O/U 6.5this page
- Jets vs. BluesJets won
- Jets vs. Blues: O/U 4.5Over won
- Jets vs. Blues: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)Jets won
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.