TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x141d…7ea0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
146
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 58 out of 100; worst Euroleague at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT9454.3%51 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$57.86
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.01
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.52
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.53
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.63
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.54
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.49
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$14.66
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$26
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.49
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+102.7%+$40.06
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$13
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$45.78
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$13
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.03
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.99
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.98
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$15.26
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$13
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.28
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.82
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.39
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+115.8%+$41.49
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$342.31
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$20.86
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.59
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.98
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.99
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+115.9%+$16.99
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$28.36
Jets vs. Blues: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.01
Devils vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Utah vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Busan: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Adam Waltonbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$926Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$925.73
San Luis Potosi: Facundo Mena vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Facundo Mena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.8
Copa Colsanitas: Emiliana Arango vs Varvara Lepchenkobacked Varvara Lepchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.63
Credit One Charleston Open: Iva Jovic vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+210.6%+$93.04
Menorca: Matteo Martineau vs Raul Brancacciobacked Raul Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$30.96
Menorca: Miguel Damas vs Daniel Rinconbacked Miguel Damas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.88
Bucharest Open: Sebastian Baez vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$21.49
Bucharest Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.49
Menorca: Sandro Kopp vs Alejo Sanchez Quilezbacked Sandro Kopp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Barletta: Maxim Mrva vs Martin Krumichbacked Martin Krumich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+58.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$42.31
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$37.57
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$96.33
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.25
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$133.94
San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.98
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+271.7%+$70.12
Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.4
Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangersbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+132.8%+$150.95
All 10 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+218.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.3
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+536.8%+$594.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.1
Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+520.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+520.8%+$299.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+119.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$23.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.