TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$467,884
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$459,906

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $467,884 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 356 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c15…9a45backed Over51c60,742$30,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,978.3511137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Under49c50,000$24,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,499.9937627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Under50c40,000$19,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,20048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Under49c39,170$19,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,018.2887451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Over50c29,769$14,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,884.57650%38 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over51c23,982$12,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,232.164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Over51c20,000$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,20034456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1626…9e8dbacked Over0c19,300$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick24cpaid-31.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over44c19,289$8,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,406.052,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under48c15,245$7,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,927.371,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under50c10,060$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,059.863746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under49c8,961$4,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,600.2569848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Over52c8,450$4,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3941942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over52c8,200$4,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2646045%27 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over36c7,565$2,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,743.851,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0325…01bcbacked Over62c6,037$3,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,743.162661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over54c5,535$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00014556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under49c4,925$2,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,533.3865045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Over52c4,794$2,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,492.8817744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe193…cc85backed Over54c4,446$2,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,396.136457.8%37 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over38c4,129$1,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.630551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.9832846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c3,963$1,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.622,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under45c3,935$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,153.162,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80e3…c57fbacked Under47c3,625$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a58…9b9cbacked Under47c3,474$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,841.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over49c3,362$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.59447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca5e…3bcdbacked Over53c3,345$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,772.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c85…94a4backed Over52c3,333$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.133345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c3,308$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.014,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d53…eb1abacked Over51c3,300$1,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,682.994362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a98…f327backed Over53c3,255$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,725650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdc3…249fbacked Over53c3,242$1,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,718.04425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under49c3,234$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.6590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010248%49 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Under48c2,987$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,538.327143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc93…ec1ebacked Over53c2,789$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.9840%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0015…c049backed Over53c2,755$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.13742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under50c2,750$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3751,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ba…8d60backed Over53c2,575$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.94757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+46.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Over52c2,553$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.315219.1%29 W · 123 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under49c2,517$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.8689850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f19…6aabbacked Over50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2501040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a31…d666backed Under47c2,492$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0109…28dabacked Under47c2,406$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ffb…3055backed Under47c2,356$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over50c2,302$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.255251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77d1…97d7backed Under47c2,275$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c2,235$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.771,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c2,222$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.276,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c2,176$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.474,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under50c2,067$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.511,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Over50c2,024$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0121643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee8…8bc6backed Over53c2,013$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.6930%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04050346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under50c1,841$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.3532351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under44c1,764$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.892,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over56c1,600$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90040451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under47c1,556$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.022,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over51c1,549$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.5862051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over3c1,510$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4231222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Under60c1,508$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.368752.9%46 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under47c1,393$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.343,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over38c1,350$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.181,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over49c1,348$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.5427463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under46c1,338$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.2736051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd119…28abbacked Over54c1,307$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under50c1,300$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65029650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under49c1,272$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.6261638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Over43c1,253$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.211639.7%46 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Over52c1,160$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.9512450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Over55c1,145$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63027549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under54c1,139$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.1595452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d9…9e0ebacked Over58c1,100$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6381942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under41c1,075$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.6646959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under45c1,047$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.945146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under49c1,043$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.6216946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under50c1,026$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51366352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ce8…9e46backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Over60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60018556.8%105 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under62c985.07$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.831,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Under64c950.81$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.3610239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0e…1461backed Under50c931.54$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.771764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e16…b78abacked Over49c929.76$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.582343.5%10 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under49c926.6$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.4152861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Under45c868.73$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.889444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over50c860.85$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.4711242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c846.02$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.251,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over51c800$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40832957.4%189 W · 140 L+18.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Over15c800$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11944821.4%96 W · 352 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over50c790.99$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3951,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bf…6df9backed Under50c790$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3956261.3%38 W · 24 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Over54c740$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.611556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over40c718.99$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.2531345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over43c699.99$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30135849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under50c696.7$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.51,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Over53c660.38$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35021957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over41c655.71$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.0653842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under50c602.06$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.0358953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.