TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$452,538
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$464,426

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $452,538 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c15…9a45backed Over52c56,158$29,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,094.7511137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over47c50,537$23,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,752.4424650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over50c40,135$19,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,964.9725248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Over49c40,000$19,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,399.9634456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under48c34,772$16,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,208.0869848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc408…c1efbacked Over53c33,333$17,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,666.494951%25 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Under51c23,567$12,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,547.7387451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Under48c20,300$9,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,466.1337627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfe3…c693backed Under52c19,596$10,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,330.321747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under51c17,323$8,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,544.7789853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Under50c17,006$8,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,5035655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb475…c136backed Under47c15,597$7,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,266.352100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under50c15,212$7,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,60637355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Under53c13,426$7,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,310.2248352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c13,417$6,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,859.068,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under48c11,569$5,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,026.6555251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Over48c11,044$5,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,30115141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under52c10,400$5,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,99220744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeddf…06b3backed Under50c10,158$5,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0796100%6 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.981,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Over47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,699.974134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under52c9,615$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,615.3890650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under52c9,615$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,615.3863746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Under53c9,434$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,433.9611654.3%63 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c8,510$4,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,442.972,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Under53c6,700$3,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1493545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c5,904$3,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,887.524,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over52c5,769$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Over50c5,569$2,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,784.6111955.5%66 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c5,500$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8604,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under52c5,500$2,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,639.991,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under48c5,069$2,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,635.8514842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over36c5,048$1,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,809.530551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Over48c4,276$2,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,052.74949%24 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbc…095ebacked Over50c3,981$1,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,987.91520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Under49c3,500$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,78523047%108 W · 122 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over48c3,250$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56046632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bbd…5c97backed Over50c3,226$1,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6133256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.9610248%49 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.9844252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b1…04debacked Over51c2,433$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8b5…a5cabacked Under50c2,230$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1153551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…f88ebacked Over53c2,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0502646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00013642.6%58 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c1,787$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.436,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80064651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Under53c1,346$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.6210645.3%48 W · 58 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over54c1,307$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.6418844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under51c1,268$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.489850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under52c1,242$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.271,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c1,221$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.711,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over42c1,220$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.4761638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2047…9240backed Under50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6002369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Under52c1,200$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.9811757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under52c1,106$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.9232351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over53c1,088$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.6420647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under52c1,015$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.4816946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50033945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Over50c999.99$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Over49c999.98$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.997950.6%40 W · 39 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Under52c961.62$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.6216050%80 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Under52c960.71$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.1422948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over49c960$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.1762051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over50c939.5$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.7830448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Over51c933.39$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.038848.9%43 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under48c931.03$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.0346959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Over51c907.73$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.945839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over13c906.89$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.91,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under52c898$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.0419745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over48c825$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39615543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c804.72$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.51,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37632957.4%189 W · 140 L+18.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under47c709.12$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.8349244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over29c689.75$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.232,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over48c681$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.931,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under58c675.86$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.8652861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Over48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005160.8%31 W · 20 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b2b…d4d3backed Over48c614.31$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.873560%21 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under49c610$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.152951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30016550.9%84 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over53c599.99$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.9931354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under57c597.8$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.052,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Over51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under52c544.35$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.1692058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5265…8184backed Under76c534.03$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.174932.7%16 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Under50c504$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25218343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23549345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Over48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24011437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Under51c494$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.068547.1%40 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Under53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.711759.8%70 W · 47 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7cbf…c53cbacked Under53c461.47$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.891533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5321147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa19…e444backed Under51c418.51$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.071485.7%12 W · 2 L+5.0wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+71.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Over48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010757%61 W · 46 L+15.3wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Over51c411.76$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21012548%60 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aae…16e6backed Under49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1612458.9%73 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over36c405.67$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.0418557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.