TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

1H Spread: 76ers (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Knicksof 76ers, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,081
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,418

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,081 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x021c…232fbacked 76ers52c8,900$4,668 inLost-$4,66812056.7%68 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Knicks48c8,581$4,081 inWon+$4,499.969848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Knicks51c1,500$765 inWon+$734.9950346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed 76ers49c844.89$414 inLost-$41414946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks48c786.99$377 inWon+$410.131,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed 76ers49c612.16$300 inLost-$299.96862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9961…edcfbacked 76ers51c321.57$164 inLost-$1641520%3 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-49.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed 76ers46c249.69$115 inLost-$115.462,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Knicks52c192.31$100 inWon+$92.3122844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec6d…804bbacked 76ers53c188.68$100 inLost-$1008655.8%48 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb221…a639backed Knicks58c100.17$58 inWon+$42.174637%17 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked 76ers40c57.92$23 inLost-$23.1862047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked 76ers49c54.09$26 inLost-$26.4223741.4%98 W · 139 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked 76ers48c52.93$25 inLost-$25.312,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed 76ers60c50$30 inLost-$3020558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Knicks40c50$20 inWon+$3035447.7%169 W · 185 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed Knicks51c39.54$20 inWon+$19.5610847.2%51 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bc4…0fd1backed Knicks54c35.09$19 inWon+$16.095347.2%25 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6630…3b83backed 76ers49c30.71$15 inLost-$153951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76a4…6207backed 76ers51c29.41$15 inLost-$15650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Knicks49c29.41$14 inWon+$1562051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked Knicks52c28.85$15 inWon+$13.856259.7%37 W · 25 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+32.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed 76ers48c27.91$13 inLost-$13.310545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Knicks51c24.55$13 inWon+$12.0319445.9%89 W · 105 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Knicks49c21$10 inWon+$10.7134850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.