NBA · resolved market
Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 24.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x363f2cd43be17036bf3e2d7843dca614d7f2c2ffa1ffe0279ddea83f77a39508
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Yes | 57c | 698.53$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.16 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077f…b971backed No | 43c | 660$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 41c | 629.43$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.4 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Yes | 60c | 582$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 45c | 269.93$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.46 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 39c | 182.39$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.88 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 59c | 146.57$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd7…0678backed Yes | 63c | 143.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed No | 41c | 124.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -10.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed No | 39c | 109.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.09 | 437 | 52.6%230 W · 207 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3893…8afbbacked Yes | 55c | 88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +9.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 45c | 77.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 42c | 73.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 41c | 68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4480…8c0ebacked Yes | 54c | 64.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed No | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 43c | 59.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…44d3backed Yes | 57c | 56.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 284 | 55.3%157 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c43…31c1backed Yes | 55c | 50.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…9ce4backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 199 | 52.3%104 W · 95 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Yes | 55c | 35.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Yes | 54c | 33.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 47c | 29.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…e8bdbacked No | 42c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 330 | 49.1%162 W · 168 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…f3c0backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 24.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-1.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Knicks won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Knicks vs. 76ersKnicks won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5Under won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Paul George: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.