TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. 76ers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,839,450
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,173,954

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,839,450 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,503 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8c80…02c3backed Knicks50c968,449$479,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488,970.061030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Knicks41c500,000$205,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295,00032653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Knicks41c426,449$176,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250,403.9187451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed 76ers47c418,817$197,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197,182.7966248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Knicks41c400,937$163,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237,593.383240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed 76ers59c328,311$193,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193,105.9829245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed 76ers53c301,568$159,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159,759.061,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Knicks40c280,146$112,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168,087.7416841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed 76ers50c272,531$137,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137,119.9319754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Knicks42c197,765$82,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115,336.0672648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Knicks51c191,367$97,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93,489.1285742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed 76ers59c191,187$112,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112,802.569745.4%44 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed 76ers16c169,500$27,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,965.611,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed 76ers58c150,000$87,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87,599.9639842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed 76ers72c140,167$100,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,879.413642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers57c130,757$74,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,758.154,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed 76ers53c130,073$69,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,083.464948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf98…6e0abacked Knicks46c129,595$59,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,833.931070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+35.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed 76ers53c120,850$64,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,050.2560351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed 76ers30c114,864$34,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,603.421,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac25…433fbacked Knicks47c100,000$47,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,0008038.8%31 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63ad…c072backed 76ers0c95,875$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.89540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-41.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6db5…e279backed Knicks70c79,984$56,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,634.885354.7%29 W · 24 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked 76ers12c77,555$9,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,096.5814538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked 76ers53c76,743$40,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,969.4855251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde7b…5f4bbacked 76ers32c72,000$23,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,2604825%12 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed 76ers50c70,000$35,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,00021549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed 76ers58c68,361$39,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,649.5811137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Knicks32c61,536$19,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,694.7237627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked 76ers59c56,400$33,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,17616039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked 76ers55c54,000$29,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,699.9810530.5%32 W · 73 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed 76ers51c53,912$27,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,573.8237355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Knicks45c52,809$24,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,799.3320352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Knicks65c51,167$33,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,881.081,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52f5…5e8abacked Knicks68c50,000$34,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,999.993770.3%26 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked 76ers43c49,863$21,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,561.358728.7%25 W · 62 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed 76ers50c49,307$24,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,653.4223256.9%132 W · 100 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers55c47,623$26,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,304.644,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed 76ers50c47,322$23,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,6618748.3%42 W · 45 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed 76ers59c46,345$27,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,343.6417251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Knicks41c44,983$18,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,356.7931644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x072c…f037backed 76ers61c41,151$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2202…8787backed Knicks50c40,000$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,000450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Knicks50c40,000$19,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,199.9920454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Knicks44c39,386$17,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,230.8969848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c4d…ee6abacked Knicks76c35,386$26,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,598.223366.7%22 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b4a…8060backed Knicks49c35,000$17,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,966.763839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed 76ers51c34,000$17,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,339.9545850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Knicks74c33,977$25,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,673.0719388.1%170 W · 23 L+48.6wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+46.2%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0x0ef5…ae68backed 76ers32c32,165$10,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,292.93540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+100.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf165…2194backed Knicks49c31,392$15,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,888.783644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed 76ers60c30,539$18,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,323.145141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Knicks40c26,750$10,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,93510248%49 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed 76ers59c26,665$15,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,732.325747.4%27 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8516…93a0backed 76ers53c26,415$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,0008035%28 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed 76ers59c25,000$14,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,85011447.4%54 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed 76ers1c25,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2205213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed 76ers50c24,850$12,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,543.9558951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Knicks42c24,603$10,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,250.7558953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed 76ers60c24,566$14,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,739.63857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47f8…6699backed 76ers52c24,017$12,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,488.973354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x648d…1366backed Knicks49c24,017$11,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,248.83336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed 76ers54c23,779$12,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,738.2342348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed 76ers35c23,624$8,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,316.6836023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe908…c1fdbacked Knicks41c23,500$9,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,894.921181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.30per pick51cpaid+91.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked 76ers50c22,857$11,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,428.4295651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0da…f3f0backed 76ers23c22,699$5,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,220.771353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Knicks40c22,000$8,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,199.9532540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed 76ers52c21,254$11,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,156.3465939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked 76ers50c20,866$10,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,432.8647354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked 76ers59c20,039$11,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,823.2218553%98 W · 87 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Knicks77c20,037$15,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,521.5310145.5%46 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed 76ers22c20,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,399.9949244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed 76ers50c19,543$9,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,771.578154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed 76ers59c19,541$11,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,564.3318651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked 76ers58c19,303$11,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,106.631,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked 76ers52c19,231$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0005036%18 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked 76ers52c19,177$9,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,880.1634456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e56…dee1backed 76ers46c18,977$8,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,766.167038.6%27 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed 76ers55c18,260$10,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,053.7365045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked 76ers17c18,133$3,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,064.741,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95df…49cabacked 76ers57c18,087$10,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,370.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed 76ers36c16,725$5,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,977.1934255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Knicks59c16,281$9,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,659.321,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed 76ers50c16,160$8,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,08059646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked 76ers61c16,071$9,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,75036549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed 76ers58c16,031$9,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,259.7911843.2%51 W · 67 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Knicks78c15,932$12,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,493.895160.8%31 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed 76ers27c15,729$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,20025925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks68c15,121$10,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,869.182,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd54…f9c5backed Knicks40c15,022$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,021.57475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed 76ers56c15,000$8,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,47517553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Knicks67c14,911$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,911.1715219.1%29 W · 123 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked 76ers57c14,640$8,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,344.7920355.2%112 W · 91 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed 76ers21c14,590$3,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,133.534942.7%149 W · 200 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b52…568ebacked Knicks28c14,406$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,406.254963.3%31 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed 76ers52c14,074$7,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,318.481,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed 76ers60c13,809$8,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,285.425543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0159…db47backed 76ers1c13,737$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.54614.9%3 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed 76ers60c13,057$7,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,834.013342.4%14 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.