TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0e1d…0c53

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
185
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT11447.4%54 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 114 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$55,910Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+192.1%+$107,382.9
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$82,083Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$82,082.93
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14,938Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,937.63
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$167.26
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,933Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+154.2%+$6,066.29
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9,799.83
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,347Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$5,312.55
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20,352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,352.03
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$8,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+135.3%+$11,499.99
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+609.9%+$8,539.49
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,342Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$3,620.75
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$782Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$589.69
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$10,000
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$8,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,025
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,616Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$6,157.21
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,036Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,036.04
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,847Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,168.5
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$7,587Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,586.83
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$7,650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$7,349.96
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$3,000
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.81
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,549.77
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,402.48
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$2,950
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,260.51
Showing 25 of 114 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$208.09
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,212.15
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$536.99
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 Truist Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,447Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$2,552.52
Will Rickie Fowler win the 2026 Truist Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,400
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+132%+$977.54
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.12
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.67
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,079.99
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$112,842Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$63,092.4
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$4,730Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,730
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30,778Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30,777.88
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$647Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$646.83
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,740Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,739.99
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$626Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$626.16
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,898Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+214%+$4,062.26
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,409.98
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100.5%+$1,337.36
Will Daniel Berger win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,822Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,821.66
Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+300%+$3,000
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$679.96
Will Marco Penge win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$910Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$909.82
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$198.34
Will Adam Scott win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,200
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$2,450
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27,880Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$13,120
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17,550Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+99.4%+$17,450
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$2,200
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$2,649.99
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,127.79
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$9,483Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$9,483.19
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,049.93
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,650Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$2,349.97
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+92.3%+$4,800
Buccaneers vs. Dolphinsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$6,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$6,399.98
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,155Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,155
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$9,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$9,940
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17,741Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$17,740.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21,900Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$8,100
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13,761Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+101.2%+$13,926.41
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27,499.99
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$53,373Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$21,450.6
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22,168Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8,613.77
All 5 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-67.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-55.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,930Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$2,069.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$6,119Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+33.5%+$2,050.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11,987Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,987.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.