TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,505
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,517

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,505 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf284…b9f9backed Knicks42c22,889$9,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,162.5218651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf689…9d83backed Spurs58c22,230$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,0001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Knicks43c20,000$8,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,499.9911447.4%54 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs58c18,019$10,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,444.9364948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Spurs55c16,326$9,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,012.0410944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks42c15,734$6,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,125.8455251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Spurs58c5,172$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00011558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Knicks42c5,051$2,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,909.3412540%50 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks41c4,439$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,600.766,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks43c4,034$1,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,29825352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Knicks42c3,828$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,220.25657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd8cc…661ebacked Spurs58c3,591$2,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,082.81258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e3a…55babacked Spurs57c3,490$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,989.3911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-79.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs58c3,274$1,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,893.84,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks27c2,582$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,888.1593148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Spurs10c2,427$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.7134255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks42c2,053$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.6852150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs30c1,979$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.4453842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs57c1,960$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.874,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Spurs58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb909…c20bbacked Spurs58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Knicks56c1,639$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.0630551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs57c1,615$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.061,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0de…8048backed Spurs57c1,507$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.225240.4%21 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs75c1,317$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.121,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs58c1,053$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.981,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks43c1,013$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.4866352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Spurs58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007445.9%34 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spurs57c859.5$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.2484443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2d8…6e1fbacked Knicks48c840.86$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.862100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+838.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Knicks43c609.49$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.4130448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Knicks25c602.77$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.8819246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Spurs75c560$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4206437.5%24 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x928f…b619backed Knicks45c543.29$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.81666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+64.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Spurs58c459.31$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.47349.3%36 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Knicks42c420$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.625954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs15c384.22$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.661,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe01…6f13backed Spurs58c383.21$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Knicks43c340.23$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.061,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Spurs57c329.98$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.0956043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Knicks74c306.72$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7725045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Knicks50c286.92$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.3232654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Spurs6c279.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.741225%3 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x322e…a2cebacked Knicks40c249.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501668.8%11 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.26per pick43cpaid+67.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Spurs20c247.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7430842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83f0…4209backed Spurs61c244.23$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1494348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Knicks32c241.79$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.4118140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb86c…b76fbacked Spurs57c230$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.1540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks57c228.53$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5360250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Spurs57c228.07$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13016042.5%68 W · 92 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs13c207.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3442842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1350…7169backed Spurs57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1143438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Knicks53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942650%13 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+61.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1035…6029backed Knicks44c198$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Knicks55c181.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.4695452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e86…6b0fbacked Spurs58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs66c171.62$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.488,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Knicks57c166.79$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1112150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Knicks33c150$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.53740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs60c145.7$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.371,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Knicks29c145$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.24355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Knicks43c144.92$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.693543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Knicks43c140.47$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0713161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa06f…cbadbacked Spurs58c140$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.23773%27 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6cc…6f75backed Spurs58c130.93$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9430%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x195d…0a8bbacked Spurs61c127.78$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9360…268fbacked Spurs57c122.2$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1649…7f22backed Knicks41c120.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.78742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Knicks35c117$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.49853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Spurs48c116.39$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1625340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Knicks44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6440548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Spurs33c113$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0752053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2a0…e208backed Knicks43c106.3$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7579…524abacked Spurs11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Spurs56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Knicks43c98.96$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9618941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Spurs52c98.66$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.317946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Knicks32c96.12$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1322753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Knicks33c93.74$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.564151.2%21 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Spurs56c90.74$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.811,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Knicks57c83.95$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.11154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Knicks41c67.98$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1145445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs74c66$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.861,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x630f…5501backed Knicks30c65.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.75461.1%33 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+42.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2673…7965backed Spurs58c58.07$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.46325.4%16 W · 47 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick35cpaid+36.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e1…18a2backed Knicks43c53.72$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.62560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+43.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5780…5a8bbacked Spurs57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa469…42a7backed Spurs55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.51040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fd7…ea48backed Knicks43c48.84$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.841464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9260…7a42backed Knicks43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Knicks43c45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6571752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Spurs57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512050%60 W · 60 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks42c43.49$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.181,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe14f…8581backed Knicks48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.673148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked Spurs58c40.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.550%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae0b…0913backed Spurs78c38.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.23per pick54cpaid-50.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeb54…d452backed Knicks44c36.86$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.641560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x258b…270ebacked Spurs57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017748%85 W · 92 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0462…aa61backed Spurs58c33.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.541936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45bf…7b62backed Spurs71c33.29$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.