NBA · resolved market
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49256f406d9e82e44f64fe7985ab5d92ad4dcec8189f718ce2b836f8d612e1e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 52c | 1,512$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.83 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed No | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 46c | 938.09$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.63 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde80…d8b9backed No | 51c | 647.73$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.34 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…e8bdbacked Yes | 49c | 642.56$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.67 | 330 | 49.1%162 W · 168 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…8e4bbacked No | 51c | 576.53$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 45c | 455.47$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.26 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 47c | 399.96$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.98 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked No | 47c | 395$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.65 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72de…53ffbacked No | 50c | 394.71$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed No | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…5d98backed Yes | 55c | 236.55$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +169%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Yes | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Yes | 54c | 200.87$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3893…8afbbacked Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +9.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…c638backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa706…4b9ebacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59d6…0704backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 187 | 55.6%104 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…a015backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…3122backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Yes | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9943…5a3fbacked Yes | 57c | 87.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…dafabacked Yes | 56c | 57.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b3…fec6backed Yes | 55c | 56.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d2…4268backed No | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920e…7873backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb96d…6af2backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29e6…0bd1backed No | 52c | 47.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.3wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb6…9e4dbacked Yes | 54c | 46.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd032…5136backed Yes | 55c | 45.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a03…4066backed No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 43c | 41.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacaa…a7a0backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +399.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0906…54f4backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d0…f0adbacked Yes | 53c | 36.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb23d…8ba5backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf89…0fb1backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c0…4731backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd2…aafebacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x055c…6a54backed Yes | 60c | 23.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes | 56c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed No | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 317 | 48.9%155 W · 162 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d733backed No | 49c | 20.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 100.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 18.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.