TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x76c0…4731

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
160
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst World Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT6137.7%23 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+347.8%+$93.2
Will Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$75.9
Will BetBoom Team win IEM Atlanta 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.36
Will Legacy win IEM Atlanta 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.51
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$38.94
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.75
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$29.85
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.91
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$19.78
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.73
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.62
Will Natus Vincere win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Will Vitality win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$86.95
Will Team Falcons win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.79
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$19.53
Will The MongolZ qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.17
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$17.86
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.11
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.29
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$182.22
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$11
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$37.8
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.3
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$39.9
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.9
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.93
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.51
Spread: Suns (-4.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.88
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.28
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.79
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$61.68
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$49.48
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$35.82
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick27cpaid-5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.18
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$32.1
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.75
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$24.18
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$65.17
France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21.54
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$46.67
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$72.33
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.4
All 24 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+900%+$414.9
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.88
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.54
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.77
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.74
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.46
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$83.97
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.61
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$17.51
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$30.31
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.15
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.23
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.02
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.29
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
All 21 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-74.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.7
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-5.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$58.22
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Mensik (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$118.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.