Champions League · resolved market
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x183be4d1baaa3aacb75b04cde4ce659a3adbf136969f2b81c9266a75d927d329
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $372,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $404,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $372,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 346 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 75c | 64,486$48,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,121.38 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 59,186$15,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,657.36 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 25c | 24,820$6,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,253.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed No | 76c | 17,500$13,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,236.35 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed Yes | 22c | 14,929$3,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,284.43 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 23c | 13,013$3,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,044.84 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db9…c73bbacked No | 58c | 12,000$6,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 79c | 11,915$9,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.98 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 21c | 11,739$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.69 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 78c | 11,586$9,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,562.06 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 77c | 9,956$7,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.94 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked No | 78c | 6,393$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.23 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 21c | 6,068$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.67 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 28c | 6,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.98 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Yes | 20c | 5,625$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed No | 50c | 5,383$2,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,686.75 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 78c | 5,197$4,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.61 | 591 | 36.5%216 W · 375 L | -30.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 20c | 4,973$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…13cdbacked No | 79c | 4,564$3,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.37 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 78cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 23c | 4,080$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.4 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec09backed No | 78c | 3,947$3,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 20c | 3,912$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.36 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…7855backed Yes | 26c | 3,038$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 2,951$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.74 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 2,796$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.9 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 20c | 2,589$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 2,433$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.67 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…22f3backed Yes | 28c | 2,280$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.57 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 21c | 2,217$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.78 | 294 | 45.9%135 W · 159 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed No | 77c | 2,150$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 29c | 2,134$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.66 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Yes | 24c | 2,100$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 78c | 2,038$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.54 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Yes | 22c | 2,000$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0072…3d75backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -56%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 20c | 1,978$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 12c | 1,908$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 107 | 17.8%19 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed No | 79c | 1,902$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.43 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,650$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.98 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 68c | 1,579$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.25 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 74cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 66c | 1,511$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.34 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 19c | 1,468$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,459$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.72 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 70c | 1,380$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.54 | 160 | 36.9%59 W · 101 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 24c | 1,358$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed No | 80c | 1,327$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.43 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 80c | 1,327$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.4 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…2086backed Yes | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 27c | 1,283$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.13 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…582abacked No | 76c | 1,233$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.94 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 23c | 1,183$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,150$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 29c | 1,019$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.25 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7e…59d2backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed No | 58c | 999.99$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 78c | 999.93$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.98 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11ee…85febacked Yes | 32c | 985.25$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 16c | 983.15$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.07 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49a5…b220backed No | 76c | 980.95$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.78 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 73c | 916$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.2 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf965…9e79backed No | 68c | 851.53$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.37 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…74adbacked Yes | 32c | 800$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 9c | 776.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…9c28backed No | 74c | 753.11$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.81 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…3a1ebacked Yes | 20c | 710$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed No | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 29c | 693.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed No | 57c | 671.63$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 26c | 663.97$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.01 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf49…e7f4backed No | 80c | 663.58$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.72 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Yes | 31c | 649.26$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 20c | 601.83$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.9 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 17c | 593.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.84 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 77c | 592.7$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes | 5c | 592.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 33c | 552.81$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.18 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…7032backed Yes | 12c | 550.52$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…ef52backed No | 78c | 504.81$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x598e…2305backed No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed No | 72c | 459$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.09 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Yes | 14c | 452.1$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Yes | 23c | 443.57$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.88 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…6cb8backed Yes | 23c | 419.22$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…1937backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe43…8f09backed No | 80c | 398.48$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 73cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 48c | 393.31$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.5 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 34c | 386.91$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.68 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 17c | 375$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Yes | 17c | 358.82$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes | 14c | 351.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 79c | 350.67$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.62 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae9d…d417backed Yes | 24c | 341.67$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…02c0backed Yes | 28c | 341.5$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Yes | 22c | 340.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?this page
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?Yes won
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.