TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,301,354
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,707,354

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,301,354 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0720…1cdbbacked No48c2,661,094$1,267,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267,555.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes53c976,644$518,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458,300.9810443.3%45 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes55c656,583$359,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297,201.627146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed No44c648,260$282,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282,066.893941%16 W · 23 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Yes52c500,015$260,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240,006.951560%9 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x916f…53babacked No39c308,888$121,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,025.4757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Yes57c225,000$127,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97,500.023357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes52c175,000$91,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,0007346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dbf…53bebacked Yes46c174,093$79,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94,117.33425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-45.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes53c150,000$79,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,0003842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes52c107,826$56,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,338.1416136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes60c80,000$47,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,4004555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes54c74,566$40,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,045.4558248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No44c70,675$30,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,971.8816144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes62c69,954$43,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,425.9212848.4%62 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Yes56c56,255$31,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,513.481266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+48.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No47c55,482$26,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,020.22,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Yes52c54,000$28,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,9202552%13 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed No51c52,254$26,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,489.812030%6 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes57c51,309$29,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,237.8266446.2%307 W · 357 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes60c50,299$30,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,075.8328643.7%125 W · 161 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes52c50,000$26,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,0003447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+33.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No40c47,559$19,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,196.7715442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Yes60c43,576$26,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,534.431850%9 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No47c42,466$19,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,958.848751.7%45 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b1c…6535backed No41c32,470$13,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,163.141435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+73.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Yes56c25,000$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,0003545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5da4…e203backed Yes36c23,581$8,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,064.451070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes63c23,537$14,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,722.371,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No42c23,333$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,8001838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes55c22,849$12,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,217.5627247.1%128 W · 144 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Yes57c21,754$12,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,354.39966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No46c20,494$9,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,358.096251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes52c20,207$10,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,697.0910850%54 W · 54 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+80.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes53c20,000$10,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,400.234746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6748…6c3bbacked No45c20,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked Yes55c19,092$10,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,641.332737%10 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No42c18,860$7,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,883.018836.4%32 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Yes54c18,518$9,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,557.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed No44c17,477$7,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,638.811428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-56%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes61c16,497$10,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,369.1660041.8%251 W · 349 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c8c…d09dbacked No54c15,898$8,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,544.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Yes53c15,000$7,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,0501573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes53c15,000$7,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,1002759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes67c14,367$9,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,803.5329846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes46c13,331$6,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,179.218155.6%45 W · 36 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed Yes60c13,100$7,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,200.42470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+27.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe68b…b796backed Yes51c12,289$6,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,025.122544%11 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes56c12,000$6,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,28018160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes52c11,226$5,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,388.6513843.5%60 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes52c11,051$5,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,300.883036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes56c11,000$6,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,887.125639.3%22 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+59.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Yes59c10,728$6,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,398.491040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Yes55c10,616$5,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,777.364573.3%33 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No54c10,506$5,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,703.146451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes53c10,177$5,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,766.085248.1%25 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdd0…ac3abacked Yes59c10,169$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,169.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf24…7d4abacked Yes59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,100862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4009348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Yes55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.991533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No42c9,986$4,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,194.083548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf2…c73bbacked No46c9,650$4,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,438.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes55c9,500$5,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,283.6511218.8%21 W · 91 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed No41c9,000$3,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,689.91861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick42cpaid+78.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Yes56c8,929$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,928.571752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed No45c8,817$3,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,967.6510845.4%49 W · 59 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Yes54c8,769$4,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,033.522763%17 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+33.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Yes52c8,623$4,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,115.18560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+70.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes53c8,500$4,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,997.9511743.6%51 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes57c8,246$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,545.6110733.6%36 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0f6…a05fbacked Yes58c8,190$4,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,439.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes71c7,935$5,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,340.144933.6%151 W · 298 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes56c7,805$4,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,413.0918250.5%92 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Yes52c7,666$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,665.94450%22 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked No43c7,470$3,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,212.12941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No36c7,263$2,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,638.0138748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes58c7,090$4,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,006.4823637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes56c7,000$3,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1105550.9%28 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No40c7,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.984346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No41c6,855$2,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,810.542334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Yes45c6,768$3,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,722.47425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes63c6,491$4,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.0912344.7%55 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a16…1050backed Yes51c6,304$3,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,088.081346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes56c6,208$3,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,748.0610628.3%30 W · 76 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes45c6,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3007750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No42c6,000$2,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,489.945347.2%25 W · 28 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+49.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes61c5,992$3,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,312.5829350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes62c5,935$3,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,250.2726047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8394…b722backed Yes61c5,734$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,233.58560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes59c5,689$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,329.5127236.4%99 W · 173 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Yes61c5,564$3,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,156.969341.9%39 W · 54 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd008…135dbacked Yes53c5,555$2,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,610.85785.7%6 W · 1 L+4.6wins+0.66per pick20cpaid+382.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Yes62c5,493$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,093.441866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x63d2…c736backed Yes59c5,475$3,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,244.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Yes55c5,455$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,454.547145.1%32 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes59c5,344$3,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,173.965066%33 W · 17 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad26…b883backed Yes42c5,334$2,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,108.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes69c5,324$3,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.638935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes55c5,236$2,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,376.187444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes48c5,176$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,675.986450%32 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.