Champions League · resolved market
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4897926fea4a69803b6da852739f94635e9cc7a29eca07e8eccf74d2d88d3b20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $902,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $975,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $902,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 504 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4900…4a72backed No | 79c | 91,607$72,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,116.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…1270backed Yes | 23c | 87,548$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 77c | 77,069$59,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,725.82 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes | 18c | 55,959$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 47,491$9,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,952.34 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 0c | 33,083$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 22c | 32,467$7,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,008.17 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Yes | 23c | 22,678$5,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,213.79 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Yes | 1c | 16,000$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 78c | 12,820$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.39 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed No | 80c | 12,804$10,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622.43 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 0c | 12,683$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Yes | 20c | 12,392$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 80c | 11,531$9,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 16c | 11,484$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.1 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e8…c5e8backed No | 80c | 10,477$8,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ed…4ae2backed No | 79c | 9,465$7,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 73cpaid | -54%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 80c | 9,400$7,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.09 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 10c | 9,379$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.4 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 20c | 9,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Yes | 19c | 7,903$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.29 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 77c | 7,194$5,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.91 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Yes | 20c | 6,292$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.31 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 16c | 6,067$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.83 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…13cdbacked No | 80c | 5,882$4,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 78cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x359d…d7ebbacked Yes | 6c | 5,349$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.61 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed No | 80c | 5,234$4,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.8 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccda…21f3backed No | 76c | 5,210$3,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.41 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Yes | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +10.6wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x105a…a152backed No | 79c | 4,985$3,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 21c | 4,669$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.82 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 18c | 4,599$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.11 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 15c | 4,415$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.15 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Yes | 23c | 4,283$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 23c | 4,028$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.71 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked No | 80c | 3,906$3,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.2 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed No | 78c | 3,410$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.2 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 21c | 3,333$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.93 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 77c | 3,165$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.01 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked No | 78c | 3,001$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…232cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,916$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 64c | 2,894$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.04 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 47c | 2,571$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.21 | 89 | 71.9%64 W · 25 L | +12.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Yes | 21c | 2,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 20c | 2,276$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.15 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 22c | 2,249$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.87 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…7c51backed Yes | 1c | 2,218$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 16c | 2,188$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 25c | 2,056$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ae…5833backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e4…4e60backed Yes | 15c | 1,992$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed No | 80c | 1,953$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.5 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 23c | 1,924$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…22f3backed Yes | 22c | 1,814$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.2 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e6…a2f1backed Yes | 15c | 1,780$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 21c | 1,620$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.2 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 6c | 1,547$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.86 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 58c | 1,523$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.45 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b26…cfc5backed Yes | 21c | 1,431$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.56 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…ebaebacked Yes | 25c | 1,422$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521a…043abacked No | 80c | 1,400$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…ef0bbacked No | 76c | 1,388$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…6d9cbacked No | 78c | 1,347$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.42 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 19c | 1,313$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.42 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 77c | 1,266$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.31 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb20…d0bdbacked Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked No | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1c…970abacked No | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 77c | 1,200$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.44 | 182 | 50.5%92 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 26c | 1,148$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.19 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…5d98backed Yes | 15c | 1,133$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 80c | 1,124$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.8 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes | 23c | 1,082$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,073$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.57 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed No | 80c | 1,071$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 68c | 1,058$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.73 | 160 | 36.9%59 W · 101 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 21c | 1,042$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.75 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 23c | 1,010$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.23 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 44c | 1,005$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.68 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0d…5de2backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed No | 79c | 999$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.79 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…582abacked No | 78c | 971.4$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.71 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 76c | 919$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.56 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…5540backed Yes | 23c | 904.01$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 21c | 900$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 22c | 900$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 20c | 888.11$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.22 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…27e0backed Yes | 23c | 882.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…93d2backed Yes | 20c | 874.35$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Yes | 21c | 866.19$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.9 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?this page
- Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.