TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x359d…d7eb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2420.8%5 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.26
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$674Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$673.79
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$968Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$967.79
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.53
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.32
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$683Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$683.28
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$814Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$813.65
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$446.7
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$100.53
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$734Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+493.2%+$3,618.85
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.92
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$456
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$304.61
Will Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$62.09
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$666Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$665.87
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+527.2%+$1,518.14
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30.01
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+400%+$682.92
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$1,357.89
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.48
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$470.9
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$202.77
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+96.1%+$199.13
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$124.9
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$511.74
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$188
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+203%+$203.03
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick34cpaid+51.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$802Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$664.31
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$1,028.53
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.89
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$392.84
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+455.6%+$364.44
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,799Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,799.1
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$356.44
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+203%+$568.48
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$88
All 11 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-51.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.47
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealandbacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$3,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$3,050.11
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$299.85
T20 World Cup: West Indies vs South Africabacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.22
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs New Zealandbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$268
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+187.9%+$880.5
T20 World Cup: India vs Netherlands (Game 1)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$82.53
T20 World Cup: Nepal vs Scotland (Game 1)backed Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+146.5%+$1,001.22
T20 World Cup: England vs Scotland (Game 1)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40
T20 World Cup: Pakistan vs USA (Game 1)backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
T20 World Cup: Italy vs Scotland (Game 1)backed Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$99
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
US strikes Iraq by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$985Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$985.32
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$363.1
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$88.7
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by February 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$22
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$80
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$6.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,732Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,732.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.